Consumer price index (CPI) September 2013

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1 Sep-12 Okt-12 Nov-12 Dec-12 Jan-13 Feb-13 Mar-13 Apr-13 May-13 Jun-13 Jul-13 Aug-13 Sep-13 MONTENEGRO STATISTICAL OFFICE R E L E A S E No. 265 Podgorica, 15 October When using the data, please indicate the source Consumer price index (CPI) September 2013 Monthly inflation in September was +0.1%, while the annual inflation down to +1.8% Monthly inflation measured by Consumer price index was +0.1% in September, while the annual inflation down to +1.8%. This was influenced mostly by the increase in prices of: solid fuels; fuels nad lubricants for personal transport equipment; vegetables; shoes and other footwear, repair and hire of footwear; tobacco; garments etc. When observing the main groups monthly increase of prices was noticed in the following groups: Housing, water, electricity, gas and other fuels (+1.2%); Transport (+1.0%); Clothing and footwear (+0.7%); Alcoholic beverages and tobacco (+0.2%); Recreation and culture (+0.2%), while a drop of prices is recorded in groups: Restaurants and hotels (-1.9%); Food and non-alcoholic beverages (-0.5%); Health (-0.3%); Miscellaneous goods and services (-0.3%); Furnishing, household equipment and routine household maintenance (-0.1%). Prices in the groups: Communications and Education remain at the same level as in the previous month. Positive annual inflation rates in September were observed in the following groups: Alcoholic beverages and tobacco (+8.1%); Miscellaneous goods and services (+3.9%); Food and nonalcoholic beverages (+3.5%); Housing, water, electricity, gas and other fuels (+2.5%); Health (+2.2%); Clothing and footwear (+0.5%); Education (+0.2%), while negative annual inflation rates were observed in the following groups: Recreation and culture (-2.9%); Transport (-2.3%); Hotels and restaurants (-1.7%); Furnishing, household equipment and routine household maintenance (-0.8%); Communications (-0.6%). Chart 1. Consumer price index (CPI), annual rates %

2 Table 1. Inflation rates measured by CPI, in % Jan- 00 CPI - total Food and non-alcoholic beverages Alcoholic beverages and tobacco Clothing and footwear Housing, water, electricity, gas and other fuels Furnishing, household equipment and routine household maintenance Health Transport Communications Recreation and culture Education Restaurants and hotels Miscellaneous goods and services Chart 2. Impacts of divisions on the annual inflation rate (in %), September COICOP divisions Statistical Office of Montenegro 2 MONSTAT

3 Table 2. Inflation rates presented by divisions, groups measured by CPI, in % COICOP/ HICP Jan- 00 CPI total FOOD AND NON-ALCOHOLIC BEVERAGES Food Bread and cereals Meat Fish Milk, cheese and eggs Oils and fats Fruit Vegetables Sugar, jam, honey, chocolate and confectionery Food products n.e.c Non-alcoholic beverages Coffee, tea and cocoa Mineral waters, soft drinks, fruit and vegetable juices ALCOHOLIC BEVERAGES AND TOBACCO Alcoholic beverages Spirits Wine Beer Tobacco Tobacco CLOTHING AND FOOTWEAR Clothing Clothing materials Garments Other articles of clothing and clothing accessories Cleaning, repair and hire of clothing Footwear /2 Shoes and other footwear, repair and hire of footwear Housing, water, electricity, gas and other fuels Actual rentals /2 Actual rentals paid by tenants and other actual rentals Maintenance and repair of the dwelling Materials for the maintenance and repair of the dwelling Services for the maintenance and repair of the dwelling Statistical Office of Montenegro 3 MONSTAT

4 /continued/ COICOP /HICP Table 2. Inflation rates presented by divisions, groups measured by CPI, in % Jan- 044 Water supply and miscellaneous services relating to the dwelling Water supply Refuse collection Sewerage collection Electricity, gas, and other fuels Electricity Gas Solid fuels Furnishing, household equipment and routine household maintenance Furniture and furnishings, carpets and other floor coverings Furniture and furnishings Carpets and other floor coverings Household textiles Household textiles Household appliances /2 Major household appliances whether electric or not and small electric household appliances Repair of household appliances Glassware, tableware and household utensils Glassware, tableware and household utensils Tools and equipment for house and garden /2 Major tools and equipment and small tools and miscellaneous accessories Goods and services for routine household maintenance Non-durable household goods Domestic services and household services HEALTH Medical products, appliances and equipment Pharmaceutical products /3 Other medical products and therapeutic appliances and equipment Out-patient services /3 Medical services and paramedical services Dental services Statistical Office of Montenegro 4 MONSTAT

5 /continued/ Table 2. Inflation rates presented by divisions, groups measured by CPI, in % COICOP/ HICP Jan- 07 TRANSPORT Purchase of vehicles Motor cars /3/4 Motor cycles, bicycles and animal drawn vehicles Operation of personal transport equipment 0721 Spare parts and accessories for personal transport equipment 0722 Fuels and lubricants for personal transport 0723 equipment Maintenance and repair of personal transport 0724 equipment Other services in respect of personal transport equipment Transport services Passenger transport by railway Passenger transport by road Passenger transport by air COMMUNICATIONS Postal services Postal services x 082/30 Telephone and telefax equipment and telephone and telefax services Telephone and telefax equipment and telephone and telefax services RECREATION AND CULTURE Audio-visual, photographic and information processing equipment Equipment for the reception, recording and reproduction of sound and pictures Photographic and cinematographic equipment and optical instruments Information processing equipment Recording media Repair of audio-visual, photographic and information processing equipment /2 Other major durables for recreation and culture Major durables for outdoor recreation and musical instruments and major durables for indoor recreation Other recreational items and equipment, gardens and pets Games, toys and hobbies Equipment for sport, camping and open-air recreation Gardens, plants and flowers Pets and other products and services for pets Statistical Office of Montenegro 5 MONSTAT

6 /continued/ COICO P/HICP Table 2. Inflation rates presented by divisions, groups measured by CPI, in % Jan- 094 Recreational and cultural services Recreational and sporting services Cultural services Newspapers, books and stationery Books Newspapers and periodicals /4 Miscellaneous printed matter and stationery and drawing materials EDUCATION x 10x0 Pre-primary and primary, secondary tertiary and education not definable by level Pre-primary and primary, secondary, tertiary and education not definable by level RESTAURANTS AND HOTELS Catering services Restaurants, cafés and the like Accommodation services Accommodation services MISCELLANEOUS GOODS AND SERVICES Personal care Hairdressing salons and personal grooming establishments /3 Electric appliances for personal care and other appliances, articles and products for personal care Personal effects n.e.c Jewellery, clocks and watches Other personal effects Social protection Social protection Insurance Insurance connected with dwelling Insurance connected with transport Financial services n.e.c Other financial services n.e.c Other services n.e.c Other services n.e.c Statistical Office of Montenegro 6 MONSTAT

7 Table 3. Groups with most important impacts on monthly inflation rate, Sept COICOP/ HICP Group Monthly inflation % Influence in percentage points 0454 Solid fuels Fuels and lubricants for personal transport equipment Vegetables /2 Shoes and other footwear, repair and hire of footwear Tobacco Garments Mineral waters, soft drinks, fruit and vegetable juices Spirits /3 Electric appliances for personal care and other appliances, articles and products for personal care Milk, cheese and eggs Accommodation services Meat Bread and cereals Fruit Table 4. Groups with most important impacts on annual inflation rate, Sept COICOP/ HICP Group Annual inflation % Influence in percentage points 0117 Vegetables Electricity Tobacco Fruit /3 Electric appliances for personal care and other appliances, articles and products for personal care 0112 Meat Pharmaceutical products Non-durable household goods Sugar, jam, honey, chocolate and confectionery Milk, cheese and eggs Restaurants, cafés and the like Coffee, tea and cocoa /30 Telephone and telefax equipment and telephone and telefax services Furniture and furnishings Bread and cereals Household textiles Books Fuels and lubricants for personal transport equipment Statistical Office of Montenegro 7 MONSTAT

8 METHODOLOGICAL NOTES Consumer price indices (CPI) are the most important short-term indicators and the basis for taking decisions in the area of economy and finance. Since January 2009 they are used as official measure of inflation in Montenegro. Consumer price index is used for harmonising wages and salaries in accordance with collective contracts, pensions, and social benefits. Also, it is used for deflating certain macroeconomic aggregates in national accounts statistics and for other purposes. Consumer price index is defined as measure of average price change of fixed good and service basket bought by household for the purposes of satisfying its needs. used for calculating the consumer price index express a relative importance of selected products and services in total household consumption at the domestic territory. Product list is regularly revised so that its representative status related to consumption structure and consumer habits is preserved. The data are published on 15 th in a month for the previous month on our website The influence of certain groups on inflation rate indicates how much that group has influenced on the total inflation rate. The influence depends on weights and inflation rate of given group. The weights represents a relative share of household consumption of certain groups or subgroup of products in the total consumption. Consequently, weights have an important role in the calculation of inflation rate. They represent "importance" of certain product group in the total household consumption in certain reference period. For example, if during certain month prices of bread increases for 10%, this will influence for approx. 0.5% (10*5%=0.5% - since the share of bread in the total expenses is 5%). But, if the prices of medicaments increase 12%, this will increase the inflation for 0.06% (12*0.5%=0.06% - since the share of medicaments in the total expenses 0.5%). This simple example indicates how much large influence have weights on the final number presenting the inflation. Issued and printed by Statistical Office of Montenegro (MONSTAT) Podgorica, IV Proleterske 2, Phone (+382) , Fax (+382) The release prepared by: Miroslav PEJOVIĆ Tel contact@monstat.org Statistical Office of Montenegro 8 MONSTAT

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