1st City Issues Tongji International Symposium City & Real Estate Risk Management 2010
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1 1st City Issues Tongji International Symposium City & Real Estate Risk Management 2010 (CI-TIS) Shanghai, China October 2010 Editors: Nan-kai Xia Fang He ISBN:
2 Printed from e-media with permission by: Curran Associates, Inc. 57 Morehouse Lane Red Hook, NY Some format issues inherent in the e-media version may also appear in this print version. Copyright (2010) by the Scientific Research Publishing Inc. All rights reserved. Printed by Curran Associates, Inc. (2011) For permission requests, please contact the Scientific Research Publishing Inc. at the address below. Scientific Research Publishing Inc. P.O. Box Irvine, CA Phone: (408) Additional copies of this publication are available from: Curran Associates, Inc. 57 Morehouse Lane Red Hook, NY USA Phone: Fax: Web:
3 Contents Part One Risk Management of Large Scale Urban Development Subject 1 Deal with the Nature and the Ecology Risks Analysis of Regional Ecological Risk Index Assessment Method Based on the View of Land Utilization Nan-kai Xia, Wei Qiao, Sheng Liu (1) A Study on the Construction of New Type of Human Settlements in Arid Area of West China in Response to Ecological Risk Bin-yi Liu, Nan Wang (8) The Urban Water Risk Types and Urban Planning Solutions JunWang, Xiao-qing Liu, Zhao Zhang (18) Urban Eco-Risk Management Based on Quick Urbanization around the Metropolis Area Xiao-yi Wen, Ting-ting Liu, Shi-yang Lu (24) Systematic Science of the Balance Development in Scenery Area Yu Lin, Guo-tai Yan, Wen-hao Sun (33) The Research of the Energy Warning System of Small Towns in Rapid Urbanization Area Nan-kai Xia, Yan Yan (37) Research on the Risk Assessment and Warning of Water Resources for the Small Towns in China Nan-kai Xia, Chen-chen Ren (42) Subject 2 Protection of Social Risks and Urban History Cultural Heritage On Cultural Risks in Large Scale Urban Development Projects Bao-yu Wang, Guan-zeng Zhang (47) Social Risk and Response: The Evolvement of Housing Security System and Harmony with Urban Development in Hong Kong Hang Ma, Guang-jun Jin (59) Concise Research on Heritage Types and Engineering Heritage Value of the Grand Canal in the Part of Huai an Xiao-ming Zhu, Zhen Ren (65) The Historical Transformation of Urbanization and Risk Blocks Analysis Lei Shang, Hui-ying Xiong (71) On Risks of Urban Heritage Values Caused by Restoration Tao Lv, Shi-bing Dai (75) Regenerate Strategy for Functional Replacement of the City s Old Industrial Architectural Inheritance Yong-li Xu, Jing Li (79) Research Progress and Prospects of Traditional Territory Cultural Landscape Conservation Na Guo, Yun-cai Wang (86) Discussion of Protecting Urban Historic Cultural Heritage in China Ru Guo (93) The Discussion Way of Historic Districts Preservation on the Point of Society Security Yu Wang (96) Study on the Urban Renewal Model for the Historic Areas Fei Chen (101) The Study of Urban Marco-Culture in Strategic Planning IV
4 Jie Zhang (107) The Discussion of Rural Collective Land into the Market Nan-kai Xia, Juan Wu (113) Subject 3 Economic Risks The Urban Construction Financial Risk Assessment for Large Scale Urban Development Projects Zhao Zhang, Qing Shi, Li Zhang (119) Analysis of Economic Risk in Extensive Land Expansion for Small Towns Nan-kai Xia, Guang-hua Tian (124) Subject 4 Risk Management of Development Zone Construction Project The Risk Research of Central China Large-Scale Development Projects Jie Zhou, Hui Feng, Nan-kai Xia, Hai-yu Song (129) China s Foreign Cooperation and the Prevention and Control of Risk Zone Nan-kai Xia, Wei Qiao, Xiao-yi Wen (137) Public Knowing and Public Participation in Risk Management of Urban Development Zhen-hua Guo, Lei Zhao, Hai-yu Song (144) Probe into the Resource-Dominated Industrial Park Construction of Underdeveloped Areas in Western Hong Geng, Zi-you Zhu (150) The Roles of Chinese Development Zones and the Present Risks Zhen-bang Zhou, Li-ming Zhang (155) The Risk Management of Development Mechanism in New Pudong Guo-quan Zhang (161) Evolution of Urban Spatial Structure: A Safety Perspective Hong Chen, Han-qing Zhang (166) The Preliminary Research on the Risk Management of Domestic Theme Park Ning-xing Lv, Meng-han Zhu (174) The Analysis of Economic Risks and Benefits of the Development of Transportation Hub-Oriented Business District Nan-kai Xia, Qin Xie (178) Study on Risk Management in Urban House Dismantlement Nan-kai Xia, Zhi Chen (186) The Risk Analysis on Development Land Types of Small Outskirts Towns Hong Geng, Ming Sun (191) Subject 5 Risk Management of Large Scale Infrastructure Development Project Controversy and Compromise: Social and Political Disputes in the Decision-Making Process of Mega-Projects Yi Wang (195) Research on Total Risk Cost Management Based on Simulation Infrastructure Project Wei-hong Gu, Lin Yang, Hui-jun Wang (206) Safety Risk Identification and Countermeasures of Wind Power Farm Project Tai-hua Yang (210) The Risk Management of Urban Underground Space Gyoki Makino (216) V
5 Part Two Real Estate Risk Management Subject 1 Early Warning and Monitoring of Real Estate Risk An Empirical Study on VaR-Based Risk Assessment and Management Strategies of Land Leasing Market in Shanghai, China Fang He, Xiu-chun Wen, Xiao-hui Gao (223) Research of Method and Model of Real Estate Early Warning System Yuan Yao, Jiang Chang, Yu Feng (228) Large Scale Urban Development Projects of Risk about the Urbanization Bubble Perspective Chun-hui Ma (235) Monitoring the High Rise Office Building Market Ying Xu (245) Macro Control of Real Estate Enterprises Investment Risk Countermeasures Wei Liu, Yu-hua An (250) Understanding the Working of Local Housing Market, the Case of Shanghai, Guo-wu Zhang (254) Subject 2 Risk Management of Real Estate Development On Risks of the Real Estate Industry and Housing Security System in China Jian-gang Shi, Bo Xie (269) The Problems and Models of Urban Migrant Housing in China: A Survey on Migrants Housing Needs in Four Cities Ying-ying Qian, Qian-qi Shen, Si Zhang (276) The Possible Approaches of the Housing Supply to the Low-Income Classes, Who Uncovered by the Welfare Housing Policies, in Shanghai Ying Wang, Xue-liang Liu, Jing Sun (284) Risk Management of Commercial Real Estate Investment Project Dai-zhong Tang, Xuan Pan, Nan Yu (295) Interpretation of Developing Predicaments of Tourism Town Due to the Expanding of Tourism Real Estate Jun Chen, Hong-min Lu (301) Development Trend of Humanity Real Estate of after Shanghai World Expo Heng Wu (306) The Route of Monopolistic Price Market Li Wang (315) The Causal Relation between House Price and Land Price Tong-long Zhang (322) VI
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