Michigan City Alternative Analysis Realignment Study. Progress Status Update Report Presentation to City Council February 1, 2012

Transcription

1 Michigan City Alternative Analysis Realignment Study Progress Status Update Report Presentation to City Council

2 Project Web Site Project Web Site is Active www. emichigancity.com Click on NICTD logo at bottom of Home Page Web site contains project information and an opportunity for public comment 2

3 Realignment Alternative Criteria Eliminate Street Running Improve Safety by Reducing Grade Crossings Improve Operating Speed (reduces travel time) Improve Capacity (double track) and Reliability Reduce Long Term Operating/Maintenance Costs Consolidate two MC stations into one modern station with ample parking, high level boarding platforms and other station amenities (accommodate 8-car platform) 3

4 Realignment Options Review Option 1 Central, 10 th & 11 th Streets Option 2 South, CSX Option 3 North, West of Trail Creek Option 4 North, East of Trail Creek Option 5 North, Elevated Option 6 US 12 Relocation Option 3-6 Combination Alternative 4

5 10 th and 11 th Street Realignment Option 1 5

6 10 th and 11 th Street Realignment Option 1 6

7 10 th and 11 th Street Realignment Option 1 7

8 10 th and 11 th Street Realignment Option 1 8

9 Typical Section In Street 10 th & 11 th Street 9

10 CSX South Realignment Option 2 10

11 CSX South Realignment Option 2 11

12 CSX South Realignment Option 2 12

13 CSX South Realignment Option 2 13

14 CSX South Realignment Option 2 14

15 North Realignment Option 3 - West of Trail Creek 15

16 North Realignment Option 3 - West of Trail Creek 16

17 North Realignment Option 3 - West of Trail Creek 17

18 North Realignment Option 3 - West of Trail Creek 18

19 North Realignment Option 3 - West of Trail Creek 19

20 North Realignment Option 4 East of Trail Creek 20

21 North Realignment Option 4 East of Trail Creek 21

22 North Realignment Option 4 East of Trail Creek 22

23 North Realignment Option 4 East of Trail Creek 23

24 North Realignment Option 4 East of Trail Creek 24

25 North Realignment Option 4 East of Trail Creek 25

26 North Realignment Elevated Option

27 North Realignment Elevated Option

28 North Realignment Elevated Option

29 North Realignment Elevated Option

30 North Realignment Elevated Option

31 North Realignment Option

32 North Realignment Option

33 North Realignment Option

34 North Realignment Option

35 North Realignment Option

36 North Realignment Option

37 Typical Section In Street Michigan BLVD. 37

38 North Realignment Option Combined 3 and 6 38

39 North Realignment Option Combined 3 and 6 39

40 Travel Time Savings For Each Alternative Option # Description Trip Time (Minutes) Savings (Minutes)* 1 Central, 10 th & 11 th Streets South, CSX North, West of Trail Creek North, East of Trail Creek North, Elevated US 12 Relocation *15.72 minutes is the trip time from tie in point on west to tie in point on east of existing alignment 40

41 Market and Economic Impact Assessment Purpose of the Report To assess the Michigan City market and realistically evaluate the potential land use impacts in each of the three station areas (South, Central, North) To identify development opportunities by analyzing: Socio-economic and ridership data Existing conditions in retail, commercial and residential markets To lead to identification of other factors that must be in place before station area potential can be achieved 41

42 Market and Economic Impact Assessment NICTD/South Shore Line Two stations in Michigan City: Carroll Avenue and 11th Street Service Levels: No. of Trains WB/EB to Chicago (weekday): 13/12 No. of Trains EB/WB to South Bend (weekday): 7 Boardings (2011): Carroll Avenue 11 th Street Boarding westbound to Chicago Alighting eastbound from Chicago Boarding eastbound to South Bend 9 50 Alighting westbound from South Bend

43 Market and Economic Impact Assessment Market Demographics Demand for retail space and housing determined by: Population Household trends Employment trends Population Factors Michigan City is the largest community in La Porte County (30% of its population) 2010 population for Michigan City and surrounding area: 35,474 Michigan City s population has not increased over the last decade Employment and housing development has been stagnant 43

44 Market and Economic Impact Assessment Retail Market Shopping centers serve local households and draw shoppers regionally Michigan City has a strong retail market and serves a large trade area Michigan City area attracts $480 million in spending annually ($156 million from shoppers living outside the city) primarily in: General merchandise stores Food and beverage stores Clothing and accessories stores Food services and drinking places Station areas could provide some opportunities for convenience retail, personal services, and eating and drinking establishments 44

45 Market and Economic Impact Assessment 45

46 Market and Economic Impact Assessment Housing Market Overview Average permits issued: 63 units/year (2001 to 2010) - 81% single family 41.3% of residents live in rental housing Two of the newest rental apartments have received tax credit financing from IHCDA Most townhouse/condominium developments oriented to the Lake Most expensive single family houses oriented to the Lake Absorption rate is slow given the market 46

47 Market and Economic Impact Assessment Housing Market Conclusions Residential development (including senior housing) is appropriate for a station area Plans show small scale residential projects Need to be consistent with neighborhood character- infill townhomes and single family residential in south and central corridors Rental market currently stronger than the condominium market - assume that over time condominium market will return 47

48 Station Area Development Development potential in each quarter-mile station area forms the basis for analyzing economic impact Any of the stations would have a transformative effect on its neighborhood Economic impact is achieved through an increased property tax base Difficult to determine currently Plans look at the amount of development in each station area 48

49 Station Area Development Train station alone cannot generate the development shown in the concepts in any of the corridors Plans cannot be accomplished without a concerted effort of planning and implementation including: Appropriate zoning Aggressive marketing Public investment Financing Developer incentives 49

50 Station Areas Three station area plans prepared: South/CSX Corridor Central/10 th -11 th Street Corridor North Corridor (station site is for Alignment Options 5 and 6, west of Trail Creek, not for Options 4 and 7, east of Trail Creek) Three concepts prepared for each station area (A, B, C) Concepts represent iterative level of development will help visualize impacts and the potential for development 50

51 Planning Assumptions Each station area plan includes 800 parking spaces 500 initial build out and 300 future build out Each concept includes both surface and structured parking Station platform and required parking causes significant changes to the urban fabric Michigan City TOD Overlay District Ordinance was considered during development of concept plans 51

52 SOUTH/CSX CORRIDOR 52

53 South/CSX Corridor Anchors/Selected Properties Within ¼ Mile: Ames Field Al s Supermarket Sinai Temple Michigan City Area Schools (MCAS) Superior Apartments Salvation Army Store/Service Center 53

54 South/CSX Corridor 54

55 South/CSX Corridor 55

56 South/CSX Corridor 56

57 South/CSX Corridor - Potential Retail 57

58 South/CSX Corridor Assessed Value 58

59 South/CSX Corridor Assessed Value 59

60 CENTRAL/10 TH -11 TH STREET CORRIDOR 60

61 Central/10 th /11 th Street Corridor Anchors/Selected Properties Within ¼ Mile: Lighthouse Place Premium Outlets 5-6 million visitors annually St. Anthony Health Marquette Catholic High School Catholic Charities St. Mary the Immaculate Conception Church Several Historic Properties 61

62 Central/10 th /11 th Street Corridor 62

63 Central/10 th /11 th Street Corridor 63

64 Central/10 th /11 th Street Corridor 64

65 Central/10 th /11 th Street Corridor Potential Retail 65

66 Central/10 th /11 th Street Corridor Assessed Value 66

67 Central/10 th /11 th Street Corridor Assessed Value 67

68 NORTH CORRIDOR 68

69 North Corridor Anchors/Selected Properties Within ¼ Mile: Lighthouse Place Premium Outlets 5-6 million visitors annually Washington Park 1 million visitors annually Michigan Public Library La Porte County Superior Court House Post Office City Hall Police Headquarters Lubeznick Center for the Arts 69

70 North Corridor 70

71 North Corridor 71

72 North Corridor 72

73 North Corridor Potential Retail 73

74 North Corridor Assessed Value 74

75 North Corridor Assessed Value 75

76 Summary of Potential Station Area Development 76

77 Cost Estimates PRELIMINARY COST TO CONSTRUCTION ESTIMATES Option 1 Option 2 Option 3 Option 4 Option 5 Option 6 Track Work $5,627,713 $16,957,072 $8,161,837 $9,761,583 $9,272,093 $9,612,800 Proposed Station/Parking $6,190,298 $6,190,298 $6,190,298 $6,190,298 $6,190,298 $6,190,298 Support Facilities/Yard $0 $78,785,617 $428,378 $1,952,112 $1,859,871 $1,859,871 Site Work/Road Work/Bridges $20,270,209 $15,450,691 $6,424,594 $16,322,834 $83,882,834 $41,285,649 Signal System $8,746,903 $15,604,382 $12,620,850 $14,517,972 $11,894,982 $13,569,995 ROW/Land Acquisition $30,400,000 $22,100,000 $30,900,000 $16,000,000 $23,700,000 $70,700,000 Professional Services $10,685,268 $23,263,209 $9,708,894 $9,711,720 $20,520,012 $21,482,792 Sub Total $81,290,391 $178,351,269 $74,434,851 $74,465,519 $157,320,090 $164,701,405 25% Contingency $20,480,098 $44,587,817 $18,608,713 $18,614,130 $39,330,022 $41,175,351 TOTAL $102,400,489 $222,939,086 $93,043,563 $93,070,649 $196,650,112 $205,876,756 77

78 Evaluation Matrix for Alignments and Station Areas Category Land Use and Economic Development Socio-Economic Stations and Facilities Traffic and Access Multi-modal Connectivity Rail Infrastructure Rail Capacity Schedule Impacts Service Reliability Safety Evaluation Criteria Potential for Transit Oriented Development (TOD) Economic impact Impact on existing land uses in station area Impact on existing land uses along alignment Impact on historic districts Potential for attractive streetscape and urban design elements Land acquisition and relocation Impact on minority and low income neighborhoods (environmental justice) Available land for station and parking Potential for structured parking Access Number of existing grade crossings Number of potential grade crossing closings Circulation impacts Impacts on access to lakefront, neighborhoods, attractions Street grid and sidewalk network Bus, bike and pedestrian access Track curvature Track gradient Horizontal clearance Speed Maintenance facilities Double track ROW requirement Track capacity Travel time On-time performance estimates Along alignment Station areas Category Ridership Potential Environmental Impacts Capital and Operating Cost Public Involvement Quality of Life Evaluation Criteria Ridership potential based on existing origin-destination data Wetlands Water resources Historic and archeological Air and noise Endangered species Parklands Geotechnical Brownfield/hazardous material sites Construction Cost Operating Costs Maintenance Costs Resident and business support Stakeholder /agency support Potential for improved vibrancy in neighborhood (walkability, mixed land uses, sustainability) Sensitivity in terms of noise, vibration and visual impacts 78