Towards a new integrated Multi-Year Plan for Infrastructure, Spatial Planning and Transport for the Rotterdam The Hague region, success or not? Thomas Straatemeier tstraatemeier@goudappel.nl Goudappel Coffeng ETC2018 - Dublin
Content Goal: Improving the MIRT Case: Multi Year Plan for Infrastructure, Spatial Planning and Transport for the Rotterdam The Hague region o Methodology o Analysis o Plan Evaluation: Succes or not?
Goal: Improving the MIRT Integrated approach (economy, spatial development, multimodal) Wide range of solutions (not only infrastructure) Cooperation between different stakeholders
Rotterdam The Hague Region Leiden 2-3 million people Largest european port Den Haag Zoetermeer Westland Delft Rotterdam Dordrecht
Transport system inefficiencies lead to the start of the project Low High NMCA (2013)
Improving mobility is not a goal in itself but a means to an end Strengthen Economic development & Innovation Improve quality of life Improve equity Increase attractiveness of the transport system
RESEARCH BY DESIGN
Possible futures problems Probable futures ambitions Desirable futures Research by design Source: prof. Teake de Jong
Phase 1 Phase 2 Phase 3-4
STAKEHOLDER MANAGEMENT BASE CASE RESEARCH BY DESIGN TRANSPORT MODELS ASSESSMENT
SCENARIO S & POSSIBLE FUTURES Scenario s Possible futures Scenario s are like long term weather forecasts Possible futures are different types of coats that can serve you in all kinds of weather
RESEARCH BY DESIGN: STEPS Challenges: current situation vs goals Policy options: choices to address challenges Possible futures: logic combination of policies Assessment: improve combinations and options
Challenges Policy options Possible Futures Strenghten economy Improve quality of life Improve equity Increase attractiveness of the transport sytem Challenges, Policy options & Possible futures
Carbohydrates pasta rice potatoes Vegetables broccoli zucchini carrots Proteins fish meat vegiterian Combining Sauce policy options Cooking with Tomato sauce soy sauce cream sauce different ingredients Spices Black pepper chili pepper basil
Different dishes cooked Different combinations of policy options lead to four possible futures
Four possible futures Do it yourself region Green & compact Inclusive city Connected clusters
Do-it-yourself region Compact and Green Inclusive city Connected clusters
Key aspects possible futures Do-it-yourself region Compact and green Inclusive City Connected Clusters Focus on individual Walking and transit Bike and transit Car and transit transport (e-)bike and Around existing national Improve connectivity of Improve multimodal (clean) car and regional transit nodes poorly connected parts of accessibility of economic the city clusters Urban and Suburban Urban: Around major Urban: around new lines Urban and suburban TOD transit nodes connecting challenged communities
1st Assessment Do-it-yourself region Green and compact Inclusive city Connected clusters Base case Agglomeration economies Adaptivity Housing market Regional Accessibility by car and truck Environment & Landscape Regiona accessibility by bike and transit Interaction between Rotterdam and the Hague Health Employment Qualitative Regional Experts Professors Public
CONVERGE One future with two legs Join forces Share forces Common ground - Keep green spaces open - Compact urban development 80-90% in cities - Transit system is the backbone
Two possible futures Join forces - Compact region - Single backbone Share forces - Network region - Multiple backbones
2nd Assessment: transport models / CBA-light 2040 base case 2040 base case: no regret infra 2040 share forces 2040 join forces # inhabitants that can reach major urban nodes within reasonable travel time
RESULT: Key projects (red) Subregional projects (blue)
Evaluation: Succes or not? Research has been a success the follow up has been mixed No success Limited funds available and funds dedicated to specific infrastructure (roads) Cherry picking in assessment: only looking at own indicators Integrated approach versus decisionmakers wanting to bring home particular projects Land-use decision still being made on omther tables
Evaluation: Succes or not? Success First step in a new approach Research has continued in Rotterdam and the Hague Short term projects are being developed in line with this vision The region has developed a stronger mutual vision Has increased urgency and need for additional funding