MCTC 2018 Regional Transportation Plan/Sustainable Communities Strategy & Program Environmental Impact Report Roundtable Meeting #1 September 26, 2017
MCTC 2018 RTP / SCS & PEIR Presentation Overview: How Much are We Going to Grow? What is an RTP? What is an SCS? What Models are Required? What is an EIR? Draft Policy Element Draft Project Evaluation Criteria What is the Purpose/ Role of the Roundtable? What Outreach is Planned? What are the Next Steps?
MADERA COUNTY - How much are we going to grow? 2010 151,136 / 219,277 City of Chowchilla 2010 12,091 / 16,314 City of 2010 61,966 / 89,268 Unincorporated area 2010 77,079 / 113,695 250000 Population Growth 2010- Population 200000 150000 100000 50000 Chowchilla Unincorporated Area 0 2010
MCTC 2018 RTP What is an RTP? Regional Transportation Plan Updated every 4 years as required by federal government Long-range plan (20+ year planning timeframe) Identifies specific projects that equal expected revenues & estimated costs (financially-constrained)
MCTC 2018 RTP What is an RTP? Documents Existing Conditions Identifies the region s transportation goals, objectives, and policies in the Policy Element Sets forth an action plan of projects & programs (2018 through ) to address needs consistent with the Policy Element Required to contain an SCS by Senate Bill 375 (SB 375) SB 375 requires reductions in Greenhouse Gas Emissions (GHG) considering integrated transportation & land use planning
MCTC 2018 RTP What is an RTP? Documents the financial resources needed to implement the plan in the Financial Element Reflects results of the Transportation (Air Quality) Conformity Analysis Addresses Environmental Justice Issues Is Consistent with the Regional Housing Needs Assessment (RHNA) Plan Highlights the 2018 RTP/SCS EIR process & results Details the RTP/SCS public outreach process
MCTC 2018 RTP Specifically, the RTP will include the following sections: SJV Regional Transportation Overview Regional Context Policy Element Sustainable Communities Strategy (SCS) Action Element Financial Element Air Quality Conformity Environmental Justice Analysis Process Environmental Impact Report Public Outreach
MCTC 2018 SCS What is an SCS? SB 375 defines an SCS as. a forecasted development pattern for the region, which, when integrated with the transportation network, and other transportation measures and policies, will reduce the greenhouse gas emissions from light trucks and cars, to achieve, if feasible, the greenhouse gas emission reduction targets approved by the Air Resource Board
MCTC 2018 SCS More specifically, an SCS: Demonstrates how will meet the State s greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions reduction targets Better integrates land use, housing & transportation planning Identifies strategies that help reduce vehicular travel [or green house gases] Identifies areas that will house the future population consistent with RHNA & General Plans Determines the transportation network that will serve the population CD+A and UA
MCTC 2018 RTP / SCS MODELING PROCESS What Models are Required to Develop the RTP/SCS? Regional Transportation Model Land Use Allocation Model UPLAN Emission Factors 2014 CARB Emissions Model
WHAT IS THE TRANSPORTATION MODEL? Includes: Significant Roadway Network Socioeconomic Profile Traffic Analysis Zones Other Controlling Factors Identifies: Projects Future Travel Behavior Future traffic volumes on the roadway Level of Service results Data to estimate vehicle emissions
TRANSPORTATION MODEL ENHANCEMENTS Base year (2010) & SB 375 analysis year (2005) indicated misassigned housing & employment land uses
TRANSPORTATION MODEL ENHANCEMENTS Base year (2010) & SB 375 analysis year (2005) indicated TAZs Structure Issues
LAND USE ALLOCATION MODEL - UPLAN UPlan projects Urban Growth by Utilizing Several Inputs Spatial Inputs Existing Development General Plan Transportation Conservation Area Natural Features Non Spatial Inputs Projected Population Future Residential Mix Future Average Residential Gross Lot Sizes Projected Employment Future Employment Mix Future Average Employment Intensities (F.A.R. & Sq.ft. per Employee) Compatibility of Uses
LAND USE ALLOCATION MODEL - UPLAN Overlays Spatial information on to a Spatial Grid Each Cell in the Grid has Unique Attraction Value The Attraction Value based upon the Spatial Mix of Growth Inducers( Freeways, Transit, suitable land, general plan designation) and Growth Restrictors (Flood Plains, Natural features, Conservation Areas, Urban Boundaries) User further defines Allocation Rules ( Land Use Types that can be allocated to the different General Plan Land uses) User also defines Non-Spatial Parameters ( The mix of employment and the mix of residential that should be utilized in a scenario)
LAND USE ALLOCATION MODEL - UPLAN Uplan provides Outputs that are Spatially Mapped as well as Tabulated Results can be derived by Sub Area s or by TAZ
LAND USE ALLOCATION MODEL - UPLAN The Base Case Modeling primarily based upon existing General Plans Three Primary Steps Standardizing the General Plan Mapping of Existing Uses Data Preparing Demographic (Non Spatial) Data DEMOGRAPHIC DATA GENERAL PLAN DEVELOPABLE & NON DEVELOPABLE LAND
LAND USE ALLOCATION MODEL - UPLAN Land Use Modeling Parameters
LAND USE ALLOCATION MODEL - UPLAN
LAND USE ALLOCATION MODEL - UPLAN
LAND USE ALLOCATION MODEL - UPLAN
LAND USE ALLOCATION MODEL - UPLAN
INFILL SITE EXAMPLES & Chowchilla
URBAN INFILL IN PROXIMITY TO CD+A and UA TRANSIT STATIONS/STOPS Example: East 14th Street San Leandro, CA Existing Conditions
URBAN INFILL IN PROXIMITY TO TRANSIT STATIONS/STOPS Example: East 14th Street San Leandro, CA Potential Redevelopment CD+A and UA
URBAN INFILL IN CITY CENTERS OR BUSINESS DISTRICTS Example: East 14th Street San Leandro, CA Existing Conditions CD+A and UA
URBAN INFILL IN CITY CENTERS OR BUSINESS DISTRICTS Example: East 14th Street San Leandro, CA Potential Redevelopment CD+A and UA
URBAN INFILL OF SHOPPING CENTERS/MALLS Example: Albemarle Square, Albemarle, Virginia Existing Conditions CD+A and UA
CD+A and UA URBAN INFILL OF SHOPPING CENTERS/MALLS Example: Albemarle Square, Albemarle, Virginia Potential Redevelopment
URBAN INFILL OF SHOPPING CENTERS/MALLS Example: Albemarle Square, Albemarle, Virginia Potential Redevelopment CD+A and UA
CORRIDOR INFILL EXAMPLES Ranchos & Oakhurst
URBAN INFILL ON CORRIDORS Example: Hydraulic Road, Charlottesville, Virginia Existing Conditions CD+A and UA
CD+A and UA URBAN INFILL ON CORRIDORS Example: Hydraulic Road, Charlottesville, Virginia Potential Redevelopment
URBAN INFILL ON CORRIDORS Example: Gasoline Alley, Charlottesville, Virginia Existing Conditions CD+A and UA
URBAN INFILL ON CORRIDORS Example: Gasoline Alley, Charlottesville, Virginia Potential Redevelopment CD+A and UA
URBAN INFILL ON CORRIDORS Example: Gasoline Alley, Charlottesville, Virginia Potential Redevelopment CD+A and UA
MCTC 2018 PEIR What is a Program EIR (PEIR)? Meets requirements of the California Environmental Quality Act (CEQA) Provides for an environmental assessment of the RTP and SCS (regional plans vs. individual projects) Includes mitigation measures to reduce significant environmental impacts
MCTC 2018 PEIR What is an EIR? Evaluates transportation and land use alternatives: 1. No Project 2. Programmed Projects Plus the Preferred SCS Scenario 3. An Alternative SCS Scenario 4. An Alternative Planning Scenario, if the preferred SCS Scenario cannot achieve GHG targets
2018 RTP/SCS A SHARED VISION (DRAFT POLICY ELEMENT) Refer to Handout
2018 RTP/SCS DRAFT PROJECT EVALUATION CRITERIA Refer to Handout
PURPOSE OF THE MCTC 2018 RTP / SCS ROUNDTABLE What is the Purpose / Role of the Roundtable? Help develop, guide, and oversee the 2018 RTP, SCS, and PEIR process
ROLE OF THE MCTC 2018 RTP / SCS ROUNDTABLE What is your role? Participation in a Roundtable composed of affected local agencies, stakeholders, and other interested and affected individuals in Attendance at 4-6 regular meetings (as needed between September 2017 and June 2018) Feedback from stakeholders improves the success of the RTP and SCS
ROLE OF THE MCTC 2018 RTP / SCS ROUNDTABLE What is your role? Provide input and feedback throughout the process Motivate the public to participate in workshops held throughout the Discuss and recommend potential RTP and SCS alternatives Recommend information that should be presented to the public
ROLE OF THE MCTC 2018 RTP / SCS ROUNDTABLE Why does MCTC need your involvement? Allows you to voice your opinions and assist in development of the RTP and SCS Improves the success of the public workshops
MCTC 2018 RTP OUTREACH PROGRAM What Outreach is Planned? Workshop Series 1: 4 Workshops & Pop-Up Events to Receive Input & Identify Desired Land Use & Transportation Strategies (Charrettes & Polling) Workshop Series 2: 4 Workshops & Pop-Up Events to Receive Input on the desired Land Use & Transportation Scenario (Charrettes & Polling) Public Hearings during release of the Draft RTP/SCS & PEIR & in Summer 2018 to adopt the RTP/SCS & Certify the PEIR
MCTC 2018 RTP / SCS & PEIR NEXT STEPS What are the Next Steps? October 2017 - Workshop Series 1: 4 Workshops to Receive Input & Identify Desired Land Use & Transportation Strategies October 2017 - Identify and Analyze Multimodal Transportation Projects November/December 2017 - Analyze SCS Scenarios Winter 2017/2018 - Workshop Series 2: 4 Workshops to Receive Input on the desired Land Use & Transportation Scenario Winter 2017/2018 MCTC Board Approve Preferred SCS Scenario Winter 2018 - Prepare the RTP/SCS and PEIR Documents Spring 2018 - Release the Draft RTP/SCS and PEIR for Public Review and Comment Spring 2018 - Hold a Public Hearing During Public Review of the Draft RTP/SCS & PEIR Summer 2018 - Hold a Public Hearing to adopt the RTP/SCS & Certify the PEIR
MCTC 2018 RTP / SCS & PEIR Let s schedule future Roundtable Sessions! Potential dates and times for upcoming sessions
MCTC 2018 RTP / SCS & PEIR Questions / Comments