Julie Klump, POAH Rick Fenuccio, Tom Hartman Marc Rosenbaum Melpet preliminary heat loss and energy model results and implications

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January 9, 2014 To: Cc: From: Subject: Julie Klump, POAH Rick Fenuccio, Tom Hartman Marc Rosenbaum Melpet preliminary heat loss and energy model results and implications Approach I sent BLF&R input spreadsheets for my room-by-room heat loss calculator and my annual energy use model. Building 3,7 and 9 was chosen to model, and I assumed it faces south in an unshaded condition. I set up thirteen cases to model, starting with a base case that roughly approximates code (though we are in an overlap period on the energy code), and adding various upgrades. Cases 2-8 are parametric only one variable is changed to see how much effect each has on the total. Cases 9-13 are combination cases. Assumptions All of the R values used are input as true R values, assuming typical wood frame construction thermal bridging, rather than nominal R values. In Case 1, inputs are: - R-10 basement wall/slab - R-16 wall - R-50 flat ceiling - R-35 sloped ceiling - R-3.5 windows, net glazing fraction 70% - R-5 opaque doors - R-3.3 glass doors - Glazing Solar Heat Gain Coefficient (SHGC) 0.40 - Air leakage 0.20 CFM50 per square foot of shell area (CFM50/ssf) - 120 CFM ventilation air divided amongst the three housing units - No heat recovery - Nine occupants using 15 gpd of domestic hot water (DHW) each - Boston solar data, Martha s Vineyard heating degree days - 1,200 kwh/month electrical usage for lights/plug loads/appliances - Minisplit heat pump at a Coefficient of Performance (COP) of 2.3 Parametric cases The following are the changes made to Case 1, one by one, to see the effects of each upgrade. Case 2 R-25 walls Case 3 R-5 windows with glazing SHGC 0.56 Case 4 - R-18 basement Case 5 900 kwh/month lights/plug loads/appliances (less heat offset) Case 6 Air leakage 0.10 CFM50/ssf Case 7 Heat recovery ventilator (HRV) at 70% effectiveness

Case 8 Heat Pump Water Heater COP 2.35 (adds heating load in heating season) Results of Parametric cases Annual heat pump energy, kwh Savings over Case 1 Case 1 9,957 2 8,435 15% 3 8,321 16% 4 9,344 6% 5 10,712-8% 6 9,054 9% 7 8,117 18% 8 10,554-6% The most effective upgrades are the HRV; better windows; more wall insulation; and increased air tightness. They also have the largest effect on comfort, by creating higher mean radiant temperatures in the spaces, and by eliminating drafts. Similarly, they have the biggest effect on preventing mold, frozen pipes, ice dams, and pests (of the morethan-two legged type.) Two cases add heating energy while saving DHW or plug/light/appliance loads. The HRV is more effective than generally thought, because of how this was modeled. The base assumption is that there is powered ventilation air, and that the necessary amount roughly follows Building Science Corporation s alternative to the newly released ASHRAE 62.2 Residential Ventilation Standard. BSC increases the required amount of air in a not balanced, not distributed system, such as the common low cost approach of using a bathroom exhaust fan with no dedicated inlets. Combination cases Case 9 R-25 walls; R-18 basement; 0.10 CFM50/ssf; HRV; HPWH Case 10 Case 9 with air tightness 0.05 CFM50/ssf Case 11 Case 10 with R-5 windows, SHGC 0.56 Case 12 Case 11 with R-40 Case 13 Case 12 with 900 kwh/month lights/plug loads/appliances

Results of Combination cases added (9-13) Case Annual heat pump energy, kwh Savings over Case 1 1 9,957 2 8,435 15% 3 8,321 16% 4 9,344 6% 5 10,712-8% 6 9,054 9% 7 8,117 18% 8 10,554-6% 9 6,034 39% 10 5,615 44% 11 4,269 57% 12 3,446 65% 13 3,718 63% Case 9 combines the increased wall and basement insulation with increased air tightness and an HRV. It also includes a HPWH, since this is a great strategy although it does impose an additional heating load on the building. Case 10 cuts the air leakage in half again, to a rigorous but achievable target. Case 11 adds the better windows. Case 12 increases the wall insulation to R-40, and the final Case 13 is Case 12 with the lower lights/plug loads/appliances usage. The chart below shows the annual heating consumption of the minisplit heat pump for each case, as well as the wattage of solar electric capacity required to zero this energy out annually. 12000 10000 kwh/year heating energy/ Watts of PV 8000 6000 4000 2000 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 Case number

Case 11 feels like the sweet spot. The R value of 25 can be achieved with 1-1/2 inches of exterior rigid foam. This amount of rigid insulation in Zone 5 allows the use of a Class III vapor retarder in the walls, eliminating the need for polyethylene or a similar material. Room-by-room heat loss implications of the cases The level of performance of the building enclosure is intertwined with the choice of mechanical system, especially heating. We have fixed on minisplit heat pumps as the system of choice on all of our projects smaller than large university buildings, because they are reliable, cost-effective to install and operate, need no venting, and are great to combine with solar electricity to make zero annual net energy buildings. For the lowest cost application in compact superinsulated buildings we have installed a single zone minisplit with a wall cassette in the main living area, and a small amount of electric heat in each bedroom for severe conditions, or for the case where people always keep the bedroom doors closed. In cases where the doors are mostly open, we find the bedrooms running 2-3 F cooler than the main living space. In order to implement this strategy I like to see a total heat loss of 15,000 BTU/hour per housing unit and bedroom heat loss not exceeding 2,000 BTU/hour each. These are not hard and fast numbers, they come from a combination of my experience and intuition, as well as an understanding of what the available heat pump equipment is. The following table shows Case 1 and three of the combination cases. Case 1 doesn t meet my criteria. Case 11 does, with the exception of the first floor bedroom in Unit C, which has both foundation and roof heat loss. The upgrades in Case 11 over Case 9 are increased air tightness and triple glazed windows, both of which have comfort benefits beyond that shown by the simple BTU/hour number. In the table below, heat loss totals and room heat loss values that meet the criteria are shown in red. Design loss BTU/hr Room: Case 1 Case 9 Case 11 Case 12 Living Room A 5134 3463 2755 2516 Dining Room A 1980 1310 950 888 Kitchen A 5651 3522 2708 2473 Powder A 222 111 56 56 Stair hall A 936 559 397 377 BR 1 A 3103 2413 1912 1670 BR 2 A 2955 2323 1840 1614 Bath A 863 566 436 368 Unit Total 20845 14267 11055 9961 Living Room B 3359 2361 1799 1712 Dining Room B 2763 1838 1393 1305 Powder B 1015 630 476 429 Kitchen B 1985 1229 888 816

Stair hall B 2578 1785 1365 1287 BR 1 B 3126 2533 1964 1793 BR 2 B 1819 1581 1258 1160 Bath B 791 521 401 338 Unit Total 17434 12479 9544 8840 Living Room C 2578 1855 1390 1312 Dining Room C 3979 2701 2163 2021 Bath 1 C 2179 1269 936 832 Kitchen C 1953 1232 874 825 Stair hall C 4279 2653 2002 1820 BR 1 C 4580 3182 2396 2195 BR 2 C 3143 2792 1931 1683 BR 3 C 2962 2327 1844 1616 Bath 2 C 863 566 436 368 Unit Total 26516 18576 13971 13393 As a result of these numbers and the annual heating energy results, my suggestion is that the building envelope aim for the values listed for Case 11. Total Annual Energy Results All of the above report the results of heating loads. To attain zero annual net energy we must consider DHW and plug/lights/appliance loads as well. Once the building is superinsulated and the heating is supplied by a heat pump, the heating load is not the largest load. In this three unit building, if the occupants use the assumed 14,400 kwh/year for plug/lights/appliance loads, and the DHW is supplied by a HPWH, the plug/lights/appliance loads may be double the combined heating and DHW loads. The table below shows the results of the energy model for the thirteen cases. The last column shows the kw of solar electric capacity needed to allow the building to reach zero annual net energy. Because the largest load is plug/lights/appliance, and that load is varied lower only in cases 5 and 13, the amount of solar electric capacity needed to zero out the building doesn t change as significantly as it does when only heating energy is considered. In Case 11, heating and DHW energy combined are half of the plug/lights/appliance energy. So occupant education and feedback has to be added into the mix of strategies if zero annual energy is to be attained. Annual heat pump energy, kwh Annual HPWH energy, kwh Annual Plug/Lights/ Appliance energy, kwh Total annual kw ZNE @ Case energy, kwh 1.25 kwh/w 1 9957 6770 14400 31127 25 2 8435 6770 14400 29606 24 3 8321 6770 14400 29491 24

4 9344 6770 14400 30514 24 5 10712 6770 10800 28282 23 6 9054 6770 14400 30224 24 7 8117 6770 14400 29287 23 8 10554 2881 14400 27835 22 9 6034 2881 14400 23315 19 10 5615 2881 14400 22896 18 11 4269 2881 14400 21550 17 12 3446 2881 14400 20727 17 13 3718 2881 10800 17399 14 Renewable Energy System Size Case 11 results in a requirement of 17 kw of solar electric capacity to zero the building out. This is just under 6 kw per housing unit, so it squares well with experience with compact single family homes aiming for zero net energy. It s worth noting the amount of aperture this represents. With the most efficient solar electric panels on the market (Sunpower), about 1,000 sf of aperture is required. This is not going to occur solely on the building roofs in this development. I suggest looking at carport roofs along the south side of the property as a possible location to develop this capacity.