Annual Results Presentation. Year Ended 30 June 2002

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Transcription:

Annual Results Presentation Year Ended 30 June 2002

Presentation Outline Opening Comments - Michael Chaney 2002 Performance - Richard Goyder Divisional Comments - David Robb - Mark Allison - Bob Denby - Peter Davis - John Gillam Outlook for 2003 - Michael Chaney 2

Richard Goyder

Performance Summary Year End 30 June ($m) 2001 2002 % Operating Revenue 4,389 7,386 68.3 Net Profit (before Goodwill) 261.4 493.3 88.7 Goodwill Amortisation (10.4) (79.3) 662.5 Net Profit (after Goodwill) 251.0 414.0 64.9 Earnings Per Share (before Goodwill) (cents) 96.2 138.2 43.7 4

2002 Performance Highlights Strong growth in Hardware Strong growth in coal earnings Satisfactory performance - Gas Synergy and scale benefits in Rural businesses Strong premium income growth Insurance Strong growth on 2001 Industrial Products Significantly improved Fertilisers and Chemicals result 5

Profit on sale of non-current assets Year Year After Tax ($m) Ended Ended 30 June 30 June 2001 2002 Hardware 4.7 (0.1) Energy 0.9 0.1 Rural Operations & Insurance - 0.4 Industrial & Safety - 0.8 Fertiliser & Chemicals - 0.1 Other 12.5 8.6 18.1 9.9 6

Divisional EBIT (before Goodwill Amortisation) 2000/2001 $488 million 2001/2002 $831 million 28.1% 9.7% 10.2% 5.9% 10.7% 12.4% 8.9% 10.8% 39.0% 35.8% 28.5% Other Rural and Insurance Fertiliser & Chemicals Energy Hardware Industrial & Safety 7

Divisional ROC & Cap Employed Rolling 12 months Year End 30 June ($m) EBIT Capital Employed ROC % ROC % 2002 2001 Hardware 250.5 1,841.4 13.6 23.9 Energy 236.5 845.7 28.0 24.4 Rural Operations & Insurance 80.1 494.1 16.2 15.5 Industrial & Safety * 61.7 708.5 8.7 - Fertilisers and Chemicals 73.3 488.3 15.0 10.4 * For 11 months 8

Divisional ROC & Cap Employed Before Goodwill Amortisation Rolling 12 months Year End 30 June ($m) EBITA Capital Employed ROC % 2002 Hardware 297.1 1,887.9 15.7 Energy 236.9 846.1 28.0 Rural Operations & Insurance 89.2 503.2 17.7 Industrial & Safety * 84.8 731.5 11.6 Fertilisers and Chemicals 73.5 488.6 15.0 * For 11 months 9

Return on Shareholders Funds (before Goodwill Amortisation) 20 % 15 10 5 0 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002* Target * Calculated on average monthly shareholders funds to take into account the issue of shares 10

Cashflow & Dividend Cents 210 175 140 105 70 35 0 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 EPS (before Goodwill Amortisation) Cashflow Dividend 11

Net Debt/ Equity % 80 70 60 50 Target 40 30 20 10 0 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 Net Debt / Equity 12

Interest Cover 35 30 25 20 15 10 times 5 0 Minimum 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 Cash Interest Cover 13

2002 3,000 700 2,000 600 500 400 300 200 100 0 14 2001 Capital Expenditure & Depreciation $m 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 Capex Acquisitions Depreciation

Energy David Robb

Wesfarmers Energy Limited 16

Energy 2002 Environment Gas International prices 25% lower Autogas demand down 10%+ Industrial gases growth Coal Western Power delivery shortfall Coking coal demand and prices firm Weak thermal markets 17

18 LPG Prices Saudi CP 70 90 110 130 150 170 190 210 230 250 270 290 310 330 350 370 JAN 93 JAN 94 JAN 95 JAN 96 JAN 97 JAN 98 JAN 99 JAN 00 JAN 01 JAN 02 US$/t PROPANE BUTANE C3 US$230 C3 US$312

Hard Coking Coal Prices Japan Benchmark 60 JRP US$/Tonne FOB nominal 55 50 45 40 35 30 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 19

$45.00 Thermal Coal Prices $40.00 $35.00 $30.00 $25.00 $20.00 $15.00 $10.00 Reference Price less relevant Oversupply to continue $5.00 $- Apr-87 Dec- 87 Aug- 88 Apr-89 Jan-90 Sep- 90 May- 91 Jan-92 Oct-92 Jun-93 Feb- 94 Nov-94 Jul-95 Mar- 96 Nov-96 Aug- 97 Apr-98 Dec- 98 Sep- 99 May- 00 Jan-01 Sep- 01 Jun-02 Source: Barlow Jonker JPU Reference Price (US $/t) Spot Price (US $/t) 20

Health and Safety The #1 Priority No LTI for 10 yrs LTI = Lost Time Injury No LTI for 514 days 15 LTI down to 5 21

Production WLPG Coal t ( 000) 400 t ( 000) 14,000 12,000 300 10,000 200 8,000 6,000 100 4,000 2,000 0 1999 2000 2001 2002 0 1999 2000 2001 2002 Premier Curragh Bengalla (40%) 22

Sales Volumes 2002 versus 2001 Kleenheat Gas (1) 10% Wesfarmers LPG 0% Air Liquide (2) 15% Premier 0% Curragh 21% Bengalla 4% (1) Adjusted for Unigas (2) Pipeline Sales 23

Profitable Growth Revenues $m 1,200 1,000 $978m $964m 800 600 400 $472m $588m 200 0 1999 2000 2001 2002 Gas Coal 24

Profitable Growth Financial Performance EBIT ROC $m 280 240 200 160 120 80 % 30 25 20 15 10 40 5 0 1999 2000 2001 2002 0 1999 2000 2001 2002 25

Energy Developments Unigas, Bangladesh sales start LPG plant debottleneck 350,000 TPA capacity ALWA HIsmelt supply discussions Statewest Power Acquisition 26

Energy Developments (cont.) Premier / WPC progress on coal shortfall Curragh upgrade and expansion Girrah coal deposit evaluation Potential 4 mtpa ROM coal for 15 years 27

Energy Issues LPG prices and demand Prices up 5 10% Coal volumes and prices Export sales increase Exchange rates 2002/03 export sales >80% hedged Premier restructuring -500,000 tonnes, 64 redundancies Project opportunities 28

Rural Operations & Insurance Mark Allison

30

Financial Performance $m EBIT % ROC 90 25 80 70 20 60 50 15 40 30 10 20 10 5 0 2000 2001 2002 0 2000 2001 2002 31

Rural Operations By Activity - 2002 Merchandise and Fertiliser revenue 33% Livestock Agency revenue 18% Wool Broking revenue 19% Real Estate revenue 36% Insurance Premium income 15% Size of Finance Loan Book 44% 32

Wesfarmers Federation Insurance New business up by 30% Strong earnings growth and sound expense management offset higher crop claims 33

Landmark Merger Progress Branch rationalisation on plan (31 of 39) Merchandise logistics & procurement on plan Centralised IT systems 34

Landmark Merger Progress (cont.) Major non-core asset sales completed Staff savings (reduced by 300) Wesfarmers Landmark re-branding on plan 35

Issues & Outlook 2003 Dry market conditions Variable outlook for commodities Farmer terms of trade Tight management of costs & capital Focus on growth strategies 36

Industrial & Safety Bob Denby

Financial Analysis EBIT: $61.7m for 11 months ROC: 8.7% 38

Performance by Business Unit Blackwoods Solid sales and EBITA result overall Northern & Southern strong Motion Industries Big improvement off low base 39

Performance by Business Unit (cont.) Australian Safety Combined Protector & Alsafe Good sales & EBITA growth New Zealand NZ Safety, Protector NZ, Packaging House and Blackwoods NZ Strong sales All businesses exceeded budget EBITA 40

Key Factors Impacting Performance Wesfarmers Industrial & Safety formed 1 August 2001 - new management team and structure Strong revenue contribution from mining sector Manufacturing sector improved during second half 2001/02 Continued growth in safety products Operation Deliver successfully rolled out within Blackwoods 41

Key Factors Impacting Performance (cont.) Continued emphasis on development of strategic alliances with key suppliers and customers Continued rollout of E-business solutions to supplier and customer base Consolidation to two ERP computer platforms Formation of Wesfarmers Industrial & Safety Support Services 42

Wesfarmers Industrial & Safety Organisation Structure Changes Successful integration of Atkins Carlyle business into Blackwoods Successful integration of Protector NZ Alsafe Safety and Protector Australia combined into a single business unit Sale of Metals distribution business in progress 43

2003 Outlook Positive outlook for mining and transport sectors Major infrastructure projects commencement Continue to refine distribution network Emphasis on IT to enhance Wesfarmers Industrial & Safety s service offering, including B2B opportunities 44

Hardware Peter Davis

History Traditionally a Western Australian business 1990 1993 1994 2001 Acquired ALCO Handyman & WA Salvage Acquired McEwans - Vic & SA Commenced rollout of warehouse stores Acquired BBC Hardware - NSW, Qld & NZ 46

History (cont.) Strong performance culture in business Best merchandising and marketing skills Proven warehouse formula Store layout and development capabilities Effective recruitment and training programs Employer of choice within the industry Strong growth in sales and profits 47

Sales & EBITA history Sales ($m) 3500 3000 EBITA ($m) 350 300 2500 2000 1500 1000 500 0 PRE BBC AQUISITION Sales CAGR 1995 to 2001-19% EBITA CAGR 1995 to 2001-31% 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 Sales EBIT (pre Goodwill) 250 200 150 100 50 0 48

Sales split by region 2000/01 - $1.4b 2001/02 - $3.1b 1% 2% VIC WA 5% VIC WA 8% 23% 41% 1% 6% 14% 26% 5% 7% NSW 14% Qld 14% 2% NSW 26% 19% VIC QLD NSW/ACT WA Salvage TAS NZ WA SA NT 49

Sales Sales $3.1 billion 14.7% increase across the combined network Increase from a solid store on store growth new store openings less store closures 50

Sales (cont.) Australian sales grew at 15.1% New Zealand slower at 5.7% Retail sales up 17.5% on last year 76.5% of total sales (last year 86.9%) Trade sales up 9% on last year Note Growth is on a full year versus full year basis across the whole network including BBC 51

Sales (cont.) Warehouses account for >75% of sales Store on store growth averaged 11% Bunnings stores averaged 12.4% growth BBC & Hardwarehouses lower at 9.6% BBC average growth increased each quarter since the acquisition 52

EBIT/ROC All regions above budget except for NSW and Tasmania EBIT/sales ratio constant despite much lower BBC ratio at acquisition WA Salvage below budget Return on capital (before goodwill) remained at high level 53

Store Numbers Warehouses WA Total Traditionals Salvage Stores Locations trading at 30 June 01 47 22 17 86 Add: Acquired from BBC 60 120 0 180 Add: Opened during the year 7 0 2 9 Less: Closed during the year (3) (28) (1) (32) Locations trading at 30 June 02 111 114 18 243 54

Integration Integration basically complete Rebranding One brand per region from November 01 All Australian stores rebranded Bunnings this year NZ warehouses only this year 55

Integration (cont.) Merchandising Initial changes for temporary branding completed last October Major change this year to support Bunnings brand Range Intensity 56

Integration (cont.) Integration of support activities completed New trade strategy developed Bunnings back office systems in all Australian stores Review of non core operations completed 57

Outlook Continuing growth in profit Strong store on store sales increase Closure non performing stores 8 to 12 new warehouses per annum Introduction of Bunnings service culture throughout the BBC network Review of overhead structures 58

Outlook (cont.) Continued focus on technology Improving operating efficiency Store administration Trade support systems Supply chain 59

Fertilisers & Chemicals John Gillam

Performance Summary 2001 2002 Chemicals Sales volumes (t 000) 394 412 +18 Revenue ($m) 153 171 +18 Fertilisers Sales volumes (t 000) 938 1,038 +100 Revenue ($m) 285 292 +7 Company EBIT ($m) 52.6 73.3 +20.7 ROC (%) 10.4 15.1 +4.7 61

Chemicals Key Influences Strong resource sector conditions Good plant performance Growth in new product stream for AN Improved sodium cyanide margins Lower caustic costs, firmer selling prices QNP reliability problems 62

Chemicals Outcomes Ammonia volumes 14% higher AN volumes 26% higher Above budget sodium cyanide earnings Overall contribution increased by 53% Commissioning new sodium cyanide solids plant 63

Fertilisers Key Influences Market focused strategies Cost base improvements Competitive domestic pricing Opportunistic eastern Australian sales Solid 2001 harvest Generally favourable commodity pricing Difficult 2002 seasonal conditions 64

Fertilisers Outcomes 11% increase in overall sales volumes WA volumes up by 4% Lower average unit revenue Higher discounts and rebates Slight decline in gross margins Overall contribution increased by 5% 65

Outlook Firm demand for ammonia and AN Improving sodium cyanide conditions Solid sodium cyanide export sales Difficult conditions may restrict fertiliser volumes Increased reach from stronger fertiliser offer Reviewing ammonia / AN expansion opportunities 66

Michael Chaney

2003 Outlook Overall positive outlook Continued strong revenue and earnings growth in Hardware Coal and gas earnings growth subject to international price trends Rural division drier seasonal conditions, focus on managing costs and achieving scale benefits 68

2003 Outlook (cont.) Improving trading conditions for Industrial and Safety businesses Wider fertiliser range and increased profits from chemicals business Improved contribution from ARG Continued scale down of the Sotico operations Additional superannuation costs of $15 million 69

Capital Expenditure Programme 2003 Forecast Total $328.1m $37.2m $119.5m $2.5m $24.7m $118.9m $25.3m Other Rural and Insurance Fertiliser & Chemicals Energy Hardware Industrial & Safety 70

Questions

w w w. w e s f a r m e r s. c o m. a u 72