Transitioning to Alternatives and Challenges in Japan

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Transitioning to Alternatives and Challenges in Japan Tetsuji Okada The Japan Refrigeration and Air Conditioning Industry Association February 13, 2018

Contents 1. Who is JRAIA? 2. Trend of legislation and Protocols 3. Market trend 4. Characteristics of Refrigerants 5. Schedule of Risk Assessment for AC and others

1. Who is JRAIA? The Japan Refrigeration and Air conditioning Industry Association Established in 1949. 170 member companies including the associate members. (as of 1 st of October 2017) The business fields of the member companies are : - Air conditioning (residential, commercial, automotive) - Refrigeration (commercial, industrial, transport) - Ventilation - Heat pump system (HP water heaters) - Refrigerants - Parts 3

2. Trend of legislation and Protocols 1) Overview of Legislation in Japan Legislation on refrigerants Ozone Layer Protection Act (1988) - Regulation on production and consumption of CFC and HCFC (abbr. OLP Act) - Maximum allowance of refrigerant consumption similar to Kigali agreement Act on Rational Use and Proper Management of Fluorocarbons (revised in 2015) - Regulation on emission of HFC/HCFC/CFC refrigerants (abbr. Fgas Act) - Target GWP and year for each product group High Pressure Gas Safety Act (revised in 2016) - Regulation on safety of flammable (toxic) gas - Method of safe use of products and refrigerants - A2L refrigerants are included as particular inert gas Global Warming Countermeasure Plan (Cabinet Decision in 2016) - Regulation on emission of energy origin CO 2 4

2. Trend of legislation and Protocols 2) Timeline 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 Vienna Convention Dubai Pathway. Montreal Protocol Kigali Amendment. Global UNFCCC Kyoto Protocol(COP3) Paris Agreement(COP21). Japan Ozone Layer Protection Act HCFC produce regulation starts Global Warming Countermeasure Plan Revised OLP Act (2018) HFC introduction EoL Automotive Recycle Act Revised Fgas Act (2015) Home Appliance Recycle Act Fluorocarbon Recovery &Destruction Act Amendment 5

3. Market trend 1) Refrigerant conversion status in each product sector Product Category Number of Units in 2016FY (x 1,000) Y/Y Ratio (%) Refrigerant Residential A/Cs 8,527.5 104.4 R410A R32 (almost 100%) Commercial A/Cs 793.9 102.6 R410A R32 (only Small-size; 41%) Residential H/P water heaters 424.4 104.1 CO 2, (R32) (almost 100%) Gas engine-driven A/Cs 30.5 98.1 R410A Water chilling units 12.9 98.8 R410A, R134A Air to air heat exchangers 109.2 93.2 NA Commercial ref. cabinets 312.4 101.4 R404 R410A, CO 2 Condensing units 91.3 98.3 R410A, CO 2 Refrigeration units 29.7 102.2 R22 NH 3, (+CO 2 ) 6

3. Market trend 2) Trend of Alternative Refrigerants in Japan 1. Japanese government support the acceleration of R&D of alternative refrigerants (government subsidies to support the projects) 2. CO 2 refrigerants training programs for installers by manufacturers 3. R&D of alternative refrigerants by manufacturers 4. Research of overseas market trends

4. Characteristics of Refrigerants 1) Comparison of Alternative Refrigerants ODS Vienna Covention Subject materials of Montreal Protocol (production Specific fluorocarbon & consumption) Methyl bromide CFC (R11,R12,R502 etc) HCFC (R22,R123,R134,R141b etc) Halon Carbon tetrachloride 1.1.1-Trichloroethane Substitute fluorocarbon CFC HCFC HFC refrigerants R12 R22 R410A ODP:R12=1.0 GWP: CO2=1.0 1.0 8,100 0.055 0.0 1,500 2,088 UNFCCC Subject materials of Kyoto protocol (emission) Alternative HFC (R23,R32,R125,R404A,R407C,R410A, R404A,R134a etc) CO 2 Methane N 2 O PFC SF6 NF3 fluorocarbon HFO R1234yf Natural refrigerants HC,NH3 HC,NH3 GHG 0.0 0.0 Below 1 Around 3 flammability None None None or mildly flammable Mildly flammable Flammability (HC etc.) toxicity None None None None Toxicity (NH3)

4. Characteristics of Refrigerants NR CO2 NH3 HC Pros High-efficiency on high temperature environment (HP water) GWP=1 Non-toxic, odorless, non-flammable High-efficiency (only requires small quantity) GWP=less than 1 A good performance can be achieved in combination with other refrigerants Applications are already in the market for household refrigerators with small capacity GWP=less than 10 Characteristics Cons High operating pressure Low critical temperature (31.1 C) resulting in lower thermal efficiency in case of high outdoor temperature Toxic, odor Higher Flammability Subject to legal restrictions for the construction of the building using the amount exceeding the specified limit H2O Harmless, odorless, non-flammable Efficiency is not very high

5. Schedule of Risk Assessment for AC and others 1) Main Timeline A2L refrigerant risk assessment has difficulty and long period 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 10 Residential AC Commercial AC build multi-ac chiller selling Launched a new A2L air-conditioner. selling Launched a new A2L air-conditioner. New risk assessment of A3 refrigerant. Others (Refrigeration equipment)

5. Schedule of Risk Assessment for AC and others 2) Abstract of A3 Refrigerants Direction In the trend of deregulation of A3 refrigerants, JRAIA will propose ACs and Showcases be secured. Based on RAC's risk assessment method and results for A2L refrigerant, JRAIA also conducts risk assessment for A3 refrigerant and recommended measures to ensure safety from the evaluated result. JRAIA collaborates with universities and research institutions to compare the hazards to the refrigerant of A2L and A3 refrigerants. Schedule First year ; A3 refrigerant risk assessment and countermeasure Second half year ; Estimation method and make plan for estimation Last year ; Practical estimation for risk assessment. Risk assessment 2016 6,7/12/2018 2017 Kobe Symposium 2018 Hazard estimation Risk assessment Risk reduction Reduction effectiveness Plan for estimation Hazard estimation 11

5. Schedule of Risk Assessment for AC and others 3) RA Step for A3 refrigerant Establishment for safety specification of A3 refrigerant Step Terms 1 Evaluated product 2Risk assessment 3 Measures Setting of evaluated product and usage condition Making the risk scenario Manufacturing, Transportation, Install, Use, serves, recycle Basic items of risk estimation Installation case (leaky space model setting) Refrigerant leak rate and leak speed Ignition source existence probability Identification the ignition source Flammable cloud CFD, simplified calculation Equipment measures: Air circulation and ventilation fan, shutoff valve, alarm Document correspondence: Instruction manual, warning display Regulatory compliance: regulations, industrial association manual 4In market (Regulation) Regulatory compliance: regulations, industrial association manual Document correspondence: Instruction manual, warning label Maintenance of work procedures manual Improvement of working accuracy in education and training 12 2016 JRAIA The Japan Refrigeration and Air Conditioning Industry Association. All Rights Reserved.

7. JRA-4076: Safety Code JRA-4076: Safety Code for small refrigerating equipment using R744( CO2) refrigerant Officially published in Oct. 2017. Contents: - for less than 5 legal refrigeration ton - for separated show case - regulation on design pressure, intensity, materials, structure, safety equipment, testing and so on.

Summary Main legislation in Japan and the relation with the global protocols was shown. Market trend in Japan was shown. situation of transition to alternatives. Challenges for the alternative refrigerants( Natural refrigerants). Risk assessment A3 refrigerants was shown. (RA for A3 refrigerants is on going.) Challenges for CO2 refrigerants were shown.

Thank you very much! T-okada@jraia.or.jp.