KINGFISHER PLC HALF YEAR RESULTS

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Transcription:

6 months to 31 July 2017 KINGFISHER PLC HALF YEAR RESULTS 6 months to 31 July 2017

Disclaimer You are not to construe the content of this presentation as investment, legal or tax advice and you should make you own evaluation of the Company and the market. If you are in any doubt about the contents of this presentation or the action you should take, you should consult a person authorised under the Financial Services and Markets Act 2000 (as amended) (or if you are a person outside the UK, otherwise duly qualified in your jurisdiction). This presentation has been prepared in connection with the announcement of the financial results for the six months ended 31 July 2017. The financial information referenced in this presentation is not audited and does not contain sufficient detail to allow a full understanding of the financial performance the Company. For more information, the entire text of the announcement for the six months ended 31 July 2017 can be found on the investor relations section of the Company s website. Nothing in this presentation should be construed as either an offer or invitation to sell or any offering of securities or any invitation or inducement to any person to underwrite, subscribe for or otherwise acquire securities in any company within the Company or an invitation or inducement to engage in investment activity under section 21 of the Financial Services and Markets Act 2000 (as amended). This presentation is being solely made and directed at persons to whom this presentation may lawfully be communicated ( relevant persons ). Any person who is not a relevant person should not act or rely on this presentation or any of its contents. Certain information contained in this presentation may constitute forward-looking statements (including within the meaning of the safe harbour provisions of the United States Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995), which can be identified by the use of terms such as may, will, would, could, should, expect, anticipate, project, estimate, intend, continue, target, plan, goal, aim or believe (or the negatives thereof) or other variations thereon or comparable terminology. These forward-looking statements include all matters that are not historical facts and include statements regarding the Company s intentions, beliefs or current expectations concerning, among other things, the Company s results of operations, financial condition, changes in global or regional trade conditions, changes in tax rates, liquidity, prospects, growth and strategies. By their nature, forward-looking statements involve risks, assumptions and uncertainties that could cause actual events or results or actual performance of the Company to differ materially from those reflected or contemplated in such forward-looking statements. No representation or warranty is made as to the achievement or reasonableness of and no reliance should be placed on such forward-looking statements. The Company does not undertake any obligation to update or revise any forward-looking statement to reflect any change in circumstances or in the Company s expectations. 2

Well positioned in an attractive market, strong foundations for ONE Kingfisher 320m (1) homes The European Home Improvement market 240bn (1) market 60% (1) do some home improvement every year Customer needs more similar than different No 1 or 2 in UK, France & Poland (2) c. 7bn buying scale Highly cash generative Strong balance sheet, 3.4bn property valuation (3) Returning capital to shareholders (1) As per FY 2014/15 results, adjusted for inflation as applicable (2) UK, France & Poland represent >90% of group sales (3) Valuation based on sale and leaseback with Kingfisher in occupancy (FY 16/17) 3

Clear long term roadmap: a reminder Year 0 FY 15/16 Year 1 FY 16/17 Year 2 FY 17/18 Year 3 FY 18/19 Year 4 FY 19/20 Year 5 FY 20/21 Unified & Unique Offer New OSC organisation Cut the tail Unified & Unique offer Unified IT platform roll out Digital Digital 'Brilliant Basics' Customer journeys Operational Efficiency B&Q store closures GNFR Further operational efficiency initiatives Retail Operations Retail best practices Screwfix UK & Europe retail expansion Retail expansion (excluding Screwfix) Store of the future 4

H1 financial summary: income statement 2017/18 2016/17 Change YOY Sales ( m) 6,008 5,749 (1.3)% (1) Gross margin 37% 37% - Retail profit ( m) (2) 467 464 (4.6)% (1) Underlying PBT ( m) (2) 440 436 +0.9% Adjusted PBT ( m) (3) 394 418 (5.7)% Statutory PBT ( m) 402 427 (5.9)% Effective tax rate (4) 27% 26% (1)% Underlying basic EPS (p) (2) 14.5 14.2 +2.1% Adjusted basic EPS (p) (3) 13.0 13.6 (4.4)% (1) In constant currencies (2) Before transformation costs, exceptional items, FFVR, related tax items and tax on prior year items (3) Before exceptional items, FFVR, related tax items and tax on prior year items (4) Before exceptional items, related tax items and tax on prior year items 5

H1 group operational summary UK & Ireland LFL +1.1% RP +1.7% France LFL (4.6)% RP (14.6)% Other International (established) LFL +0.1% RP +3.7% New country development LFL +4.7% RL (10)m RP = Retail Profit in constant currency ; RL = Retail Loss in constant currency 6

H1 group operational highlights UK & Ireland LFL +1.1% RP +1.7% B&Q LFL -2.3% after c.+1% sales transference & c.-2% business disruption Screwfix +11.7%, strong growth in specialist trade desks & digital Gross margin flat France LFL (4.6)% RP (14.6)% Continued weaker sales vs. market & c.2% business disruption Gross margin -30bps Other International (established) LFL +0.1% RP +3.7% LFL & profit performance driven by Poland LFL +3.8%, good performance in supportive market Gross margin -20bps New country development LFL +4.7% RL (10)m Losses in-line with expectations Acquisition agreement to strengthen position in Romania (1) (1) Subject to approval 7

H1 17/18 PBT bridge and updated FY guidance m H1 m FY guidance 440 (46) 394 (5) 13 402 +5 +20 - = +25 10 (1) 25 (1) (130) (30) Underlying PBT Transformation P&L costs Adjusted PBT (before exceptionals) Transformation exceptional costs Other exceptional gain Statutory PBT Underlying PBT Transformation P&L costs Adjusted PBT (before exceptionals) Transformation exceptional costs Statutory PBT (1) GNFR Goods Not For Resale 8

H1 financial summary: cash and returns 2017/18 2016/17 YOY Free cash flow ( m) 327 533 n/a Net cash ( m) 650 898 n/a Half year ordinary dividend (p) 3.33 3.25 +2.5% Share buyback ( m) 149 126 n/a 9

H1 uses of operating cash flow m 556 (100) (129) (308) Lease adjusted net debt to EBITDAR 1.8x 641 (56) 46 650 Opening net cash H1 2017/18 Operating cash flow Tax & net interest paid Gross capex Returns to shareholders Disposal of assets & other FX Closing net cash 10

17/18 total capex: H1 and updating FY guidance 25% 26% 25% Existing Stores Screwfix Expansion FY 2017/18: up to 375m 10% 5% 28% H1: 129m 30% 30% 2% 9% 5% New Stores (ex-screwfix) IT Other Transformation 20% 15% 11

Our Approach 1. ONE Kingfisher transformation is being delivered 2. Our reality today

We have achieved considerable change already Unified & Unique Offer Digital We are creating a unified & unique offer based on customer needs New ranges are being well received by customers We are buying as ONE and seeing the benefits Unified IT platform roll out IT & digital plans are continuing at pace Operational Efficiency GNFR is working well Change supported by great teams everywhere 13

Unified & unique offer - starting to deliver the benefits Customer benefits New products More affordable prices Higher quality Simpler ranges, better merchandising Business benefits Higher sales Cost price reduction (CPR) Improved processes Fewer SKUs & suppliers 350m (1) = broadly equivalent to 5% CPR on 7bn buying scale Early evidence of delivery U&U (2) sales growth, predisruption CPR in line with expectations Positive customer & colleague feedback c.80% reduction of SKUs & suppliers (3) Gross margins up 30bps preclearance on 16% U&U (1) Profit uplift by FY 20/21 (2) Unified & unique (3) On cumulative unified & unique ranges by end FY 17/18 14

We are creating a unified & unique offer based on customer needs Now at 16% unified COGS For FY 17/18 on track to deliver 20% unified COGS (exit rate c.30%) Global suppliers & SKUs reduced by c.80% (1) (with similar choice for customers) 0% FY15/16 4% FY16/17 20% FY17/18 Landing first unique ranges (outdoor & bathroom) Some step changes in remerchandising Gearing up for FY 18/19 (1) Cumulative position at end of FY 17/18 15

New ranges are being well received by customers Positive feedback from both colleagues and customers, web star ratings ahead of old ranges Customer web ratings (1) Bathroom & Storage Decoration & Joinery Electrical & Plumbing Outdoor Tools & Hardware All categories Old Unified & Unique (1) Number of reviews c.8k unified and unique, old c.12k 16

Customer and colleague feedback Customers are really pleased with the new range I did not expect such a high quality product for such a good price B&Q colleague I installed it myself very easily. I m very satisfied Customer, Poland I recommended this product to friends already Customer, Romania Customer, France

Unique case study: bathroom & storage Widely implemented (except UK) with great merchandising 18

Unique case study: bathroom & storage Widely implemented (except UK) with great merchandising New ranges outperforming old ranges and ahead of plan, driven by Bathroom furniture: e.g. France +27% Showers: e.g. Other International +12% Strong exit rates reflecting improving availability Strong early customer feedback focusing on quality, price & design H1 17/18 Bathroom & Storage Sales (1) 8% 1% -2% -8% France Other International Unified & Unique All (1) Includes clearance 19

Unified case study: chains & ropes Unified Implemented in all markets Shelf-ready packaging Improved merchandising Nearly 10% of CPR (1) expected To invest in better quality and lower prices for customers (e.g. Castorama France) as well as margin Global SKUs down from 2,800 to 437, suppliers down from 48 to 3 No significant sales (2) impact despite disruption driven by Clearance of old ranges (high SKU category, price inelastic) Delayed arrival of new ranges (1) Cost Price Reduction (2) Total sales (including B&Q store closures) down 1% excluding clearance, down 3% including clearance 20

We are buying as ONE and we are seeing the benefits After: 9 independent buying teams in 9 OpCos ONE international team with unified global functions New processes and accountabilities Sourcing in a very different way Starting to control our end to end process Cost of change (after clearance) & CPR remain in-line with expectations Gross margins +0.3% in H1 17/18 before clearance of old ranges, based on 16% unified COGS Broadly flat for FY 17/18 after some price reinvestment & clearance of old ranges 21

Digital - IT & digital plans are continuing at pace Target of 50m profit uplift by FY 20/21 Unified IT platform is key enabler for ONE Kingfisher Remains on track to be completed by end of FY 18/19 By end of FY 17/18, over 50% of Group sales will be operating on the new platform Digital plans following closely behind Group online sales now at 5% (4% last year) Group mobile platform built, launching soon at B&Q 1 hour click and collect in all B&Q stores Castorama France new website on track for H2, mobile soon after 22

Operational efficiency - GNFR (1) is working well Target of 100m by FY 20/21, driven by GNFR Unified approach is working well e.g. GNFR benefits 55m Print & Paper Simplification MHE (2) Changes to blueprint Media ONE tender 8 to 1 supplier 30m 25m Building maintenance France tender 68 to 8 suppliers Cleaning France tender 19 to 2 suppliers Travel agency ONE tender 7 to 1 supplier H1 10m FY 16/17 FY 17/18 Cumulative benefits (1) Goods not for resale (2) Mechanical Handling Equipment 23

Change is supported by great teams everywhere Our 77,000 colleagues really starting to work as ONE new processes and ways of working e.g. OSC new tools and training e.g. unified IT platform Piloting new Home Improvement Academy focusing on customer needs ONE learning experience to ensure ONE customer experience New leadership reward scheme based on higher share ownership and more global objectives vs local 24

Our Approach 1. ONE Kingfisher transformation is being delivered 2. Our reality today

Our reality today Change is real and is happening at pace Experiencing some business disruption Continuing to adapt our approach as we progress Plans in place to support our overall FY 17/18 performance Remain cautious on H2 backdrop 26

Experiencing some business disruption principally reflecting product availability & clearance 1. Clearance of old & remerchandising of new ranges Scale of change Data 2. Systems & data Unified IT roll out Product data 3. New processes Steep learning curves Longer lead times c. 2% H1 LFL impact, overall improving trend on H1 ranges 27

Continuing to adapt our approach as we progress Governance Chief Transformation Officer now in place Cumulative roll-out % unified COGS 80% 90% Prioritisation New phased approach e.g. re-phasing IT roll out pulling forward larger OpCos to start H2 this year defer UK unique bathroom launch to H2 17/18, launching now smooth phasing of unified COGS (1) roll out, de-risking the plan 55% 65% 40% 20% 4% FY 16/17 FY 17/18 FY 18/19 FY 19/20 FY 20/21 Previous New (1) Costs of Goods Sold 28

Plans in place to support FY 17/18; remain cautious on H2 backdrop Plans in place for FY 17/18 Aware of the challenges Self-help cost initiatives in place to support overall FY 17/18 performance Remain comfortable with FY 17/18 consensus (1) Backdrop Remain cautious UK Uncertain outlook Mixed macro & housing indicators France Ongoing underperformance vs market ONE Kingfisher starting to address this (1) See page 2 of RNS 29

Our Approach 1. ONE Kingfisher transformation is being delivered 2. Our reality today

H1 summary 1. Significant step up in level of transformation activity, as planned 2. H1 performance reflects some business disruption & continued weaker sales in France, offset by self-help 3. Acting on root causes of business disruption 4. Adapting our approach as we progress 5. On track to deliver FY 17/18 milestones & consensus (1) though remain cautious on H2 backdrop 6. Remain confident in ability to deliver 5 year plan & the benefits it will generate (1) See page 2 of RNS 31

Cautionary note regarding forward looking statements Certain information contained in this presentation may constitute forward-looking statements (including within the meaning of the safe harbour provisions of the United States Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995), which can be identified by the use of terms such as may, will, would, could, should, expect, anticipate, project, estimate, intend, continue, target, plan, goal, aim or believe (or the negatives thereof) or other variations thereon or comparable terminology. These forward-looking statements include all matters that are not historical facts and include statements regarding the Company s intentions, beliefs or current expectations concerning, among other things, the Company s results of operations, financial condition, changes in tax rates, liquidity, prospects, growth and strategies. By their nature, forward-looking statements involve risks, assumptions and uncertainties that could cause actual events or results or actual performance of the Company to differ materially from those reflected or contemplated in such forward-looking statements. No representation or warranty is made as to the achievement or reasonableness of and no reliance should be placed on such forward-looking statements. The Company does not undertake any obligation to update or revise any forward-looking statement to reflect any change in circumstances or in the Company s expectations. 32

Appendices 31

FY 17/18 technical guidance Income statement: Broadly flat gross margin assuming Unified & Unique Offer CPR benefits are offset by some price reinvestment and clearance Underlying profit expected to include a further c. 25m operational efficiency benefits (previously c. 20m) Transformation P&L costs of c. 310m over 5 years to FY 20/21, to be mostly incurred over first 3 years. FY 17/18 expected to be c. 130m (previously 150m) Transformation exceptional costs of c. 170m over 5 years to FY 20/21, to be incurred over first 4 years. FY 17/18 transformation exceptional costs expected to be c. 30m c.1% B&Q LFL sales transference benefit from B&Q store closures Retail losses from new country development activity expected to be c. 15m driven by Screwfix Europe Group interest charge expected to be less than 5m (excluding FFVR and exceptionals) Effective tax rate expected to be around 27%, subject to the blend of profit within the companies various jurisdictions Cash flow: Total capex including transformation of up to 375m total capex for FY 17/18 (previously 450m) Capital return of c. 600m by the end of FY 18/19 expected to be via share buyback ( 400m completed to date) 34

Breakdown of 800m transformation costs 473 m 800 135 170 136 250 30 130 327 35 174 202 310 77 90 5 44 118 28 Y1 Actual Y2 Guidance Y1 Y2 Guidance Y3 Y5 Guidance 320 Aggregate 5Y costs Exceptional Costs P&L Costs Capex 35

Net debt to EBITDAR reconciliation 2017/18 Moving annual total m 2016/17 Year end m EBITDA (1) 981 1,008 Property operating lease rentals 400 399 EBITDAR 1,381 1,407 Net cash (650) (641) Property operating lease rentals (8x) (2) 3,200 3,192 Lease adjusted net debt 2,550 2,551 Lease adjusted net debt to EBITDAR 1.8 1.8 (1) Retail profit less central and transformation P&L costs before depreciation and amortisation (2) Kingfisher believes 8x is a reasonable industry standard for estimating the economic value of its leased assets 36

ADR programme Kingfisher ADRs trade on OTCQX the premier tier of the U.S. over-thecounter market under the following information: Symbol KGFHY CUSIP 495724403 Ratio Country 1 ADR : 2 ORDs United Kingdom Effective Date Jan 01, 1986 Underlying SEDOL 3319521 Underlying ISIN Depositary GB0033195214 Citi Benefits of ADRs to U.S. investors: Clear and settle according to normal U.S. standards Offer the convenience of stock quotes and dividend payments in U.S. dollars Can be purchased/sold in the same way as other U.S. stocks via a U.S. broker Provide a cost-effective means of international portfolio diversification For questions about creating Kingfisher ADRs, please contact Citi: New York Michael O Leary email: michael.oleary@citi.com Tel: +1 212 723 4483 London Mike Woods email: michael.woods@citi.com Tel: +44 (0) 20 7500 2030 37

Contacts Investor Relations Tel: +44 (0)20 7644 1082 Email: investorenquiries@kingfisher.com Media Relations Tel: +44 (0)20 7644 1030 Email: corpcomms@kingfisher.com Teneo Blue Rubicon Tel: +44 (0)20 7260 2700 Email: Kfteam@teneobluerubicon.com 38