Credit Suisse Retail Round-Up. December 15, 2009

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Transcription:

Credit Suisse Retail Round-Up December 15, 2009

2

Forward Looking Statements The Company claims the protection of the safe-harbor for forward-looking statements contained in the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. The Company intends these forward-looking statements to speak only as of the time of the presentation and does not undertake to update or revise them, as more information becomes available. These statements discuss, among other things, expected growth, store development and expansion strategy, business strategies, future revenues and future performance. These forward-looking statements are based on estimates, projections, beliefs and assumptions and are not guarantees of future events and results. Such statements are subject to risks, uncertainties and assumptions, including, but not limited to, competition, product demand, the market for auto parts, the economy in general, inflation, consumer debt levels, governmental approvals, our ability to hire and retain qualified employees, risks associated with the integration of acquired businesses including the acquisition of CSK Auto Corporation, weather, terrorist activities, war and the threat of war. Actual results may materially differ from anticipated results described or implied in these forward-looking statements. Please refer to the Risk Factors section of the Company s Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2008, for more details. 3

1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 Miles driven in trillions Gas prices in dollars per gallon Industry Drivers Continued Aging of U.S. Vehicle Population: Falling new car sales 2005 @ 17 million and 2009 forecast @ 10.4 million Tight consumer spending leads to investing in currently owned automobiles U.S. Miles Driven and Gas Prices: 3.5 3 Source: AAIA Factbook 91% increase in miles driven from 1979 to 2008 YTD change in miles driven as of 9/30/2009, +0.3% or 6.7 billion miles 3.5 3 2.5 2.5 2 2 1.5 1.5 1 1 0.5 0.5 0 0 Source: U.S. Department of Energy Miles Driven Gas Prices Source: 2010 Digital Aftermarket Factbook - AAIA 4

40,000 30,000 20,000 10,000 0 Industry Opportunities Fragmented Market 35,238 35,590 35,357 35,405 35,690 35,850 36,224 36,241 30% 31% 32% 34% 36% 38% 42% 42% 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008E Top 10 Auto Parts Stores Underperformed Maintenance Industry Source: AAIA Factbook Top Ten Auto Parts Chains 1. AutoZone Inc. (4,265) 2. Advance Auto Parts (3,418) 3. O Reilly Auto Parts (3,415) 4. General Parts Inc./CARQUEST (1,674) 5. Genuine Parts/NAPA (1,085) 6. Pep Boys (580) 7. Uni-Select (321) 8. Fisher Auto Parts (320) 9. Replacement Parts Inc. (152) 10. Auto-Wares Group (128) (in billions) Source: AAIA Factbook 5

6

Company History Founded in 1957 by the O Reilly family with 13 original team members Initial public offering in 1993 listed on the NASDAQ as ORLY Track record of consistent performance 16 consecutive years of record revenue, operating income, EBITDA and comparable store sales growth 7

Company Overview Store Count 3,415 stores in 38 states as of September 30, 2009 Distribution Centers 20 DCs w/three to open by summer of 2010 (Los Angeles, Denver and Salt Lake City) Team Members Over 44,000 Last-Twelve-Months Sales $4.8 billion as of September 30, 2009 Market Capitalization $5.0 billion Total Assets $4.7 billion 3 rd Quarter Results Adjusted EPS of $0.63 versus $0.40 for the same period in 2008. YTD adjusted EPS of $1.74 versus adjusted EPS of $1.27 for the same period in 2008. 8

Dual Market Strategy Established track record of serving both DIY and DIFM customers Great market penetration and reduced vulnerability to competition Leverages our existing retail and distribution infrastructure Can profitably operate in large and small markets Enhances service levels offered to our DIY customers Significant barriers to success in DIFM market 9

Existing O Reilly DCs Acquired CSK DCs Future DCs Strategic Distribution System Distribute to stores daily via Company-owned fleet Stock an average of 128,000 SKUs available same day or overnight Advanced material and handling equipment supported by progressive slotting and picking technology Master Inventory Hub stores more than 175 Atlanta, GA Billings, MT Brooklyn Park, MN Dallas, TX Des Moines, IA Greensboro, NC Houston, TX Indianapolis, IN Knoxville, TN Kansas City, MO Little Rock, AR Lubbock, TX Mobile, AL Nashville, TN Oklahoma City, OK Springfield, MO Seattle, WA Belleville, MI (converted) Phoenix, AZ Dixon, CA (to relocate to Stockton, CA) Moreno Valley, CA Denver, CO Salt Lake City, UT 10

Core O Reilly Focus Grow market share in existing markets Continued expansion through new store growth (estimated 150 openings in both 2009 and in 2010) Continued expansion of distribution reach (Greensboro, NC, in May 2009) 11

12

CSK Conversion Process ACCOMPLISHED Master Inventory Hub stores in western states 264 store conversions (123 Checker and 141 Murray s) Commercial programs in two-thirds of CSK stores Detroit distribution center conversion in April 09 Identified locations and completed purchases/leases for four new distribution centers in the western states 90% complete in hard-part resets in nonconverted stores, significantly increasing hard-part SKU availability in these stores Good, Better and Best Addition of O Reilly branded chemicals and commodities as well as proprietary private label products Prices reduced to be market competitive Removal of non-core merchandise Opening of Seattle, WA DC in Nov. 09 TO BE ACCOMPLISHED In store décor and outside signage changeovers in initially converted stores Front room, POS system, interior graphic and signage conversions in remaining western CSK stores Complete commercial programs in remaining CSK stores with evaluation and expansion of sales teams Training and improving level of parts knowledge of store team members Begin transition to O Reilly team incentive pay plan and manager s sales and profit commission plan Distribution center openings (Moreno Valley in Jan. 10; Denver in Mar. 10; Salt Lake City in May 10) Relocation of Dixon DC to Stockton, CA, and conversion of Phoenix DC in Fall of 10 Refine product mix in all stores based on market and vehicle registrations Complete hard-part line changeovers Increase import OE offerings 13

Distribution Projects Timeline 14

CSK Store Conversion Timeline Remaining CSK system and store conversions coincide with DC openings Seattle 194 stores Begins: Nov. 2009 Completed: Jan. 2010 Moreno Valley 240 stores Begins: Jan. 2010 Completed: Mar. 2010 Denver 92 stores Begins: Mar. 2010 Completed: May 2010 Salt Lake City 81 stores Begins: May 2010 Completed: Jun. 2010 Stockton 278 stores Begins: Sept. 2010 Completed: Nov. 2010 Phoenix 151 stores Begins: Fall of 2010 November 2009 thru fall of 2010 15

16

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009E O Reilly Store & Revenue Growth 1,400 1,200 O'Reilly Growth Revenue 1,492 1,342 $5,000 $4,500 $4,000 $3,500 1,000 $3,000 800 $2,500 600 $2,000 400 $1,500 200 23 31 40 232 80 101 121 106 128 140 149 170 190 150 $1,000 $500 0 $0 Major acquisitions: 1998 Hi/LO 182 stores acquired; 2001 Midstate 82 stores acquired; 2005 Midwest - 72 stores acquired; 2008 CSK Auto 1,342 stores acquired 17

Core O Reilly Comparable Store Sales 18

CSK Comparable Store Sales O Reilly acquired CSK on July 11, 2008 * Q2 2008 comparable store sales from May 5 up to date of acquisition * Q3 2008 comparable store sales from date of acquisition through September 30. 19

Fueling EPS Growth 2009 Guidance $2.21 to $2.25 (1)(2) (1) Excluding one-time acquisition related charges (2) GAAP EPS of $2.18 to $2.22 * Adjusted diluted earnings per share, excluding the impact of acquisition related charges 20

O Reilly Culture Statement "We are ENTHUSIASTIC, HARDWORKING PROFESSIONALS who are DEDICATED to TEAMWORK, SAFETY, and EXCELLENT CUSTOMER SERVICE. We will practice EXPENSE CONTROL while setting an example of RESPECT, HONESTY, and a WIN-WIN ATTITUDE in everything we do!" 21