The 10 th Three Associations Meeting JRAIA. The Japan Refrigeration and Air Conditioning Industry Association. August 31, 2016.

Transcription

1 The 1 th Three Associations Meeting JRAIA The Japan Refrigeration and Air Conditioning Industry Association August 31, 216 Jeju, Korea 1

2 Contents 1. Domestic Market Update 2. Implementation of Alternative Refrigerant Management in Japan ; Latest Activities including Risk Assessment for A2L refrigerants (JRAIA's Side Event at OEWG38, Vienna 18th July, 216) 3. JRAIA World Air Conditioner Demand Estimates in

3 Contents 1. Domestic Market Update 2. Implementation of Alternative Refrigerant Management in Japan ; Latest Activities including Risk Assessment for A2L refrigerants (JRAIA's Side Event at OEWG38, Vienna 18th July, 216) 3. JRAIA World Air Conditioner Demand Estimates in

4 Transition of yearly shipments : Room Air Conditioners (RAC) Room Air Conditioners (RAC) 1, units 1, 9, 8, 7, 7,192 7,521 6,866 6,466 7,37 7,573 7,417 7,382 7,579 6,96 8,338 8,33 8,521 9,423 8,94 8,166 6, 5, 4, 3, 2, 1,

5 Transition of yearly shipments : Packaged Air Conditioners (PAC) Packaged Air Conditioners (PAC : inc. VRF) on Outdoor Unit Bases 1,units , units VRF on Outdoor Unit Basis

6 Transition of yearly shipments : Chillers 14, 12, 1, 8, 6, 4, 2, Displacement-type (reciprocating, rotary, scroll, screw) Chillers 12,238 12,41 12,594 13,47 9,84 9,466 9,911 8,634 8,655 9,45 9,428 9,371 8,773 8,917 9,716 7, Units 4, 3, 2, 1, 3,45 3,76 2,879 2,878 2,639 Absorption Chillers 2,396 2,24 1,949 1,662 1,411 1,378 1,361 1,472 1,669 1,517 1, USRT Absorption Chiller 1USRT Units 1, Centrifugal Chillers USRT Centrifugal Chiller 1USRT 6

7 Transition of yearly shipments : Absorption Chillers Units 4, 3, 2, 1, 3,45 3,76 2,879 2,878 2,639 Absorption Chiller 2,396 2,24 1,949 1,662 1,411 1,378 1,361 1,472 1,669 1,517 1, USRT Absorption Chiller 1USRT 4, 3,5 3, 2,5 2, 1,5 1, ,59 1,877 1,87 1,79 1,61 1,563 1,491 1,391 1, ,35 1,9 1,34 1,7 1,232 1,121 1, Gas Oil Steam etc. 7

8 Transition of yearly shipments : Gas-engine driven Heat-pump Air Conditioner (GHP) 1, units Gas-engine driven HP Air Conditioner (GHP) on Outdoor Unit Basis , units VRF on Outdoor Unit Basis

9 Transition of yearly shipments :Heat-pump Water Heater Residential HP water heater , units Commercial HP water heater 6, 5, 4, 3, 2, 1,614 2,197 3,59 3,562 4,546 5,6 4,553 3,681 3,34 3,26 1,

10 Contents 1. Domestic Market Update 2. Implementation of Alternative Refrigerant Management in Japan ; Latest Activities including Risk Assessment for A2L refrigerants (JRAIA's Side Event at OEWG38, Vienna 18th July, 216) 3. JRAIA World Air Conditioner Demand Estimates in

11 JRAIA's Side Event at OEWG38, Vienna (18th July, 216) 11

12 Requirements for Alternative Refrigerants Actions to phase down HFCs have been started sector by sector in Japan by considering not only Environment Performance but also Safety, Energy Efficiency and Economic Feasibility. S+3E Safety (precondition) Environment Performance Energy Efficiency Economic Feasibility Low Toxicity Low Risk of Flammability Ozone Depletion Potential = Low Global Warming Potential Superior for LCCP* value Similar performance at high load cooling Reasonable Cost Acceptable level in Developing Countries LCCP*:Life Cycle Climate Performance 216 JRAIA The Japan Refrigeration and Air Conditioning Industry Association. All Rights Reserved. 12

13 Basic Procedure for Risk Assessment START [A] Set the tolerance level of the risk : probability of the accidents (ignition) Consider additional safety measures Minimize the risk Dispersing fan, Ventilation, Isolation valve, Alarm Estimate the risk [B1] Estimate of the leakage probability [B2] Estimate of the probability of generating a flammable area [B3] Probability of the fire source No Is the risk within the tolerance level? Decisive quality criteria: [A] > [B1] [B2] [B3] commercialization, market research Yes COMPLETION guidelines manuals standard, legislation 216 JRAIA The Japan Refrigeration and Air Conditioning Industry Association. All Rights Reserved. 13

14 Key Activities in Japan:Base case [Mini-split] Test result of the Risk Assessment Safety criteria (Use) Ignition probability 1-1, (Others) Ignition probability 1-9 Life stage Ignition probability ( R32 ) Logistic Installation Use (Indoor) Use (Outdoor) Service Disposal After safety criteria was determined, risk assessment over the total life cycle was conducted. If the risk level exceeds the safety criteria, additional safety measures must be taken to satisfy the criteria. They are to be applied to the safety manual and guideline. Required practices should follow depending on the necessity. In this risk assessment, wall mounted ACs were proven to be within the tolerance level for ignition possibility, even without additional safety measures The details of activities and the progress reports are available in the following website: JRAIA The Japan Refrigeration and Air Conditioning Industry Association. All Rights Reserved. Source: JSRAE 14

15 Key Activities in Japan:Timescale Mini- Split Residential Residential A/Cs with A2L have been in the Japan market from 214 onward Split Commercial VRF Chiller Ot her s Refrigeration equipment : Reporting 216 JRAIA The Japan Refrigeration and Air Conditioning Industry Association. All Rights Reserved. 15

16 Key Activities in Japan:Legislation The equipment over the tolerance level of risk (Decisive quality criteria) must adapt safety measures below ; ⅰ Design to prevent pooling : Dispersing fan, Ventilation, Isolation valve to minimize flammable area ⅱ Set detector / alarm High pressure gas safety act covers flammability as well as toxicity. Currently the revision of classification in this act is under consideration by adapting the safety measures stated above. In addition to international standards such as ISO5149 and IEC , Japan is considering to add the safety obligation set for each equipment to prevent the fire during gas leak by adapting two JRA standards below ; JRA GL-2 : JRAIA guideline JRA 468 :JRAIA standard 216 JRAIA The Japan Refrigeration and Air Conditioning Industry Association. All Rights Reserved. 16

17 Key Activities in Japan:Comparison Global Legislation/ Act for flammable refrigerants (mainly for the refrigerants with lower flammability) U.S. Europe Japan Legislation/ Act Clean Air Act SNAP F Gas Regulation, Act Act on Rational Use and Proper Management of Fluorocarbons High pressure gas safety act National legislation Building Code IMC, UMC, etc. Building Code High pressure gas safety act International standards Standard / regulations (define ref types) Standard / regulations (safety) ASHRAE34 ASHRAE15 UL UL484, etc. ISO817(refrigerant classification) Relevant standards based on ISO EN378 EN ISO5149(safety) High pressure gas safety act High pressure gas safety act JIS C JRA standards, etc. 216 JRAIA The Japan Refrigeration and Air Conditioning Industry Association. All Rights Reserved. 17

18 Key activities in Japan:Target GWPs Act on Rational Use and Proper Management of Fluorocarbons sets target GWP and its schedule (plan) for each designated product Designated Product Target GWP (Weighted Average GWP) Target year Room air conditioning (Mini-Split) Commercial air conditioning (Split) Mobile air conditioning Condensing unit and refrigerating unit Cold storage warehouses Urethane foam 1 22 Dust blowers JRAIA The Japan Refrigeration and Air Conditioning Industry Association. All Rights Reserved. 18

19 Key activities in Japan : HFCs Phasedown (Unit: 1, CO 2 ton) Reduced volume of new-use by product transition (in 1 thousand ton) Reduced volume of maintenance-use by product transition Reduced volume of maintenance-use by inspection Estimate volume for maintenance-use Estimate volume for the new shipment BAU shipment equivalent Estimate of the use of F-gas approx. 4% decrease approx. 52% decrease Estimate use in 22: approx. 43 million CO 2 ton Estimate use in 225: approx. 36 million CO 2 ton 216 JRAIA The Japan Refrigeration and Air Conditioning Industry Association. All Rights Reserved. 19

20 Contents 1. Domestic Market Update 2. Implementation of Alternative Refrigerant Management in Japan ; Latest Activities including Risk Assessment for A2L refrigerants (JRAIA's Side Event at OEWG38, Vienna 18th July, 216) 3. JRAIA World Air Conditioner Demand Estimates in

21 JRAIA World Air Conditioners Demand Estimates 21

22 22

23 JRAIA World Air Conditioners Demand Estimates Market Report 23

24 The International Symposium New Refrigerants and Environmental Technology 216 Date December 1-2, 216 Venue International Conference Center Kobe, JAPAN Tel: Fax: Organizer The Japan Refrigeration and Air Conditioning Industry Association (JRAIA) Tokyo, JAPAN Tel: Fax: Supported by Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry(METI) Kobe city Contents Environmental Issues New Refrigerants and Their system 2L refrigerants Compressors and Lubricants Energy Conservation 24

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