System Communications. "Sunsets and what is on the Horizon" Louis T. Fiore

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1 System Communications "Sunsets and what is on the Horizon" Louis T. Fiore

2 This session will discuss the impending 2G & POTS sunsets and the evolving replacement paths such as IP, Radio, Cellular/GSM/4G, etc and providing an overview of what is going away and what is coming in Manage voice networks: What exactly is a Facility based service.

3 Topics VoIP vs MFVN GSM Sunset Communications alternatives FirstNet

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5 State of Affairs POTS is leaving us. Cellular will continue to change. Competitors from outside are leveraging their communications advantages.

6 Today s s Communications Environment Undeniable shift from wired to wireless services Decreased demand and availability of PSTN service Quality of service issues with VoIP as the service spreads Cellular changes as carriers migrate to faster service The ability to acquire wireless spectrum at any price is a formidable barrier to continued expansion for the wireless carriers. The FCC has declared a spectrum crisis due to lack of new spectrum needed to address exploding demand.

7 Available Technologies POTS MFVN (VoIP) Wired IP Wireless IP Private Radio

8 Available Technologies POTS, MFVN (VoIP) DACT Wired IP Internet Wireless IP Digital Cellular Private Radio AES-Intellinet and AlarmNet

9 What s s Happening to Plain Old Telephone Service?

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13 Quantifying the PSTN Legacy Transition Cord cutting is happening in a rapid pace, especially the younger segments. However, PSTN lines (overall) are also dropping organically. As of May 2010, 23% of respondents in a study lived in a mobile-only only household. The same study also found that 37% of adults in the and age groups lived in a Mobile-only only household. Source: FCC

14 VoIP

15 MFVN Managed Facilities Voice Network

16 A managed facilities-based voice network,, or MFVN is a physical network owned and operated by a voice service provider that delivers traditional telephone service via a loop start analog telephone interface.

17 How Configured MFVNs are interconnected with the public switched telephone network (PSTN) and provide dialtone to end users. Historically, this was provided by equipment at Bell company central offices However today's MFVNs can include a combination of access network (last mile network of copper, coaxial cable, or fiber optics), customer premises equipment (CPE), network switches and routers, network management systems, and gateways to the larger PSTN.

18 Five things that qualify an MFVN Manage and maintain their network to ensure service quality and reliability Provide a service that is functionally equivalent to traditional analog phone service (dialing, dial plan, and loop voltage treatment), Provide real-time transmission of voice signals that carry alarm system formats unchanged, Provide both professional installation and subscriber information.which preserves primary line seizure for alarm system interconnection, and Have disaster recovery plans to address both individual customer outages and widespread events of a catastrophic nature, including network power restoration equivalent to traditional landline telephone services.

19 NFPA Fire Code The National Fire Protection Association incorporated this concept into the NFPA fire code, which is now the basis for determining whether a given phone line is an acceptable method for fire alarm signaling transmission from a protected premises to a supervising central monitoring station. Local authorities, such as fire inspectors, now no longer need to make these determinations on an individual case basis.

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21 Current and Future Alarm Industry Digital Cellular Wireless Offerings Honeywell AlarmNet AES Intellinet Possibly FirstNet

22 GSM Sunset Less Than 4 Years Away an incredible challenge facing the alarm industry: on Jan 1, 2017, AT&T will shut down their 2G GSM/GPRS cellular network. This requires replacing an estimated 4 to 5 million GSM alarm devices before 2G GSM service is removed and the deadline is now less than four years away! Many alarm companies have started dealing with the replacement, but others have not yet begun to address this issue.

23 Mobile Data Traffic Growth

24 What Does The Future Hold? We have experienced one technology sunset recently (the AMPS Sunset in 2008) and will undergo another one soon (the 2G GSM Sunset in 2016).

25 Even other current cellular technologies are likely to change in time 3G HSPA will work through the end of this decade at least, and 2G CDMA will exist to the early years of the next decade.

26 Once fully deployed, LTE will last a long time, but we should not assume that this is permanent either. Carriers must continue to enhance performance. For example, in time, LTE will be followed by a new standard currently in development, called LTE Advanced.

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28 The real story 2G (GPRS/1xRTT) 2016 sunset really means starting now and gone by end 2016 Guaranteed allocation of 25%-30% of 1900 Spectrum for 2G through end 2017 earliest but projecting no sunset date as of yet (safe to assume 2020 earliest) Commitment for 1xRTT through 2019, perhaps. No sunset for 1xRTT, saying Network Vision will extend 1xRTT indefinitely ALL 4 major operators each cover >300 million POPs with 2G

29 The real story 3G (EVDO/HSPA) No commitment for HSPA longevity but expected through 2020 HSPA longevity committed through 2020 EVDO longevity committed till 2019 No sunset for EVDO, saying Network Vision will extend EVDO indefinitely

30 The real story 4G LTE 237 markets deployed covering 288 Million People LTE Advanced (10), fastest LTE available, but not fully deployed till mid Million POPs by EOY Most aggressive LTE Deployment yet, fully deployed at every EVDO Tower by end 13, >90% of US POPs by EOY LTE Rev 10, fastest LTE available, but not fully deployed till end 14

31 Verizon LTE Coverage

32 FirstNet What it might promise to the alarm industry

33 FirstNet Band Plan C 11 A 1 D 5 PS BB 5 G B 1 PS NB 6 B 1 C 11 A 1 D 5 PS BB 5 G B 1 PS NB 6 B Single Nationwide Public Safety Broadband License (Licensed to the Public Safety Spectrum Trust) Allocated to the Nationwide PSBL By Congressional Action

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39 Advantages to Alarm Systems Priority Negotiated rates probably lower than on the public networks Hardened Network Longevity of Technology

40 Mesh Technology A wireless mesh network is a communications network made up of radio nodes organized in a mesh topology. A mesh network is reliable and offers redundancy. Current mesh products have very limited bandwidth capability.

41 A Mesh Network Example

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43 What is a business owner to do? Determine your needs: Resi/Comm,, Video, Burg (line security), Commercial Fire Need to conform to UL and/or NFPA If you are using 2G, get a plan to change. Find the technology best suited to your business

44 Questions?

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46 Thank you!